|

GBP/USD sees an upside above 1.2250 ahead of UK Inflation data

  • GBP/USD is expecting more upside above 1.2250 amid a cheerful market mood.
  • BOE’s Mann doesn’t see any risk of over-tightening in its current interest rate hike cycle.
  • The US PPI is expected to decline further amid lower gasoline prices and weak retail demand.

The GBP/USD pair is struggling to extend gains above the immediate resistance of 1.2250 in the early Asian session. The Cable has sensed selling pressure while overstepping the aforementioned resistance a few times but is now expected to extend the rally upside amid a significant improvement in the risk appetite of the market participants.

A four-day winning streak in S&P500 is portraying that the market mood is quite upbeat. Investors are pouring funds into the risk-perceived assets while dumping the safe-haven assets. The 10-year US Treasury yields surprisingly gained to 3.50%. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) managed to restrict its downside to near 101.76.

This week, the Pound Sterling will be guided by the United Kingdom inflation data, which will release on Wednesday. As per the projections, the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) (Dec) is expected to trim to 10.6% from the former release of 10.7%. While the core price index data that excludes oil and gas prices might escalate to 6.6% vs. the prior release of 6.3% in a similar period.

It looks like the UK inflation has got more stubborn and the Bank of England (BOE) will be forced to continue hiking interest rates further. BOE member Catherine Mann cited that the central bank is not at a point where it needs to worry about the risk of over-tightening in its interest rate-rising cycle.

On the United States front, investors are awaiting the release of the Producer Price Index (PPI) data. The street sees a decline in headline factory gate prices of goods and services (Dec) to 6.8% from the former release of 7.4%. Also, the core PPI might trim to 5.9% from the former release of 6.2% in a similar period.

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2226
Today Daily Change-0.0008
Today Daily Change %-0.07
Today daily open1.2234
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2088
Daily SMA501.2038
Daily SMA1001.1688
Daily SMA2001.1997
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2249
Previous Daily Low1.2151
Previous Weekly High1.2249
Previous Weekly Low1.2086
Previous Monthly High1.2447
Previous Monthly Low1.1992
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2211
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2188
Daily Pivot Point S11.2174
Daily Pivot Point S21.2113
Daily Pivot Point S31.2076
Daily Pivot Point R11.2272
Daily Pivot Point R21.2309
Daily Pivot Point R31.237

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).