|

GBP/USD prints fresh highs on Bank of England expectations

  • GBP/USD bulls stampede on BoE rate expectations.
  • US dollar drifts lower following yesterday's spike to fresh cycle highs.  

At 1.3490, GBP/USD is trading near to the highs of the day that came in just shy of 1.3495. The pair has moved from a low of 1.3396 and climbed to a one-week high after data showed UK inflation surged to a 10-year high last month.

The pound is firmer across the board due to the expectations of an interest rate hike as early as next month following a week, so far, of better than expected data. On Tuesday, for instance, UK data showed Britain's job market withstood the end of the government's furlough scheme.

Subsequently, the Bank of England is expected to join the Reserve Bank of New Zealand as one of the first major central banks to raise rates since the coronavirus pandemic hit the global economy. The markets are now pricing a 60% chance that the BoE will raise rates at a December 16 meeting.

US dollar drifts below 16-month highs

Meanwhile, the US dollar has drifted lower from a new 16-month high that was printed on Tuesday as markets position for rate increases from the Federal Reserve that is now seen hiking rates by as early as mid-2022. The dollar index, DXY, which measures the currency against a basket of six rivals, is down around 0.13% at the time of writing, trading at 95.788 within the day's range of between 95.734 and 96.241. Yesterday's high was 96.266, the best level marked since mid-July 2020.

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.3491
Today Daily Change0.0069
Today Daily Change %0.51
Today daily open1.3422
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3611
Daily SMA501.3651
Daily SMA1001.3729
Daily SMA2001.384
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3473
Previous Daily Low1.3405
Previous Weekly High1.3607
Previous Weekly Low1.3353
Previous Monthly High1.3834
Previous Monthly Low1.3434
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3447
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3431
Daily Pivot Point S11.3394
Daily Pivot Point S21.3366
Daily Pivot Point S31.3327
Daily Pivot Point R11.3462
Daily Pivot Point R21.3501
Daily Pivot Point R31.3529

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady below 1.1800

EUR/USD moves sideways in a narrow channel below 1.1800 as the market volatility remains low ahead of the New Year holiday. On Tuesday, investors will pay close attention to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 as trading conditions remain thin

GBP/USD corrects lower after posting strong gains in the previous week and trades below 1.3500 on Monday. With the action in financial markets turning subdued following the Christmas holiday, however, the pair's losses remain limited.

Gold holds above $4,300 after profit taking kicked in

Gold retreats sharply from the record-peak it set at $4,550 and trades below $4,400, losing more than 3% on the day. Growing optimism about a Ukraine-Russia peace agreement and profit-taking ahead of the New Year holiday seem to be causing XAU/USD to stay under heavy bearish pressure.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).