|

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Inches higher, yet struggles at 1.2785

  • GBP/USD trades at 1.2760, up 0.11%, as it nears key resistance at 1.2785.
  • Range-bound movement persists between 1.2680 and 1.2785, with mixed momentum signals.
  • A break above 1.2785 targets 1.2800 and 1.2888, while a drop below 1.2657 could see a test of 1.2600 and 1.2445.

The Pound Sterling continued to register gains on Friday yet found some resistance at 1.2773, shy of hitting the 50-day moving average (DMA) at 1.2785, which, if cleared, could pave the way for further upside. However, the GBP/USD retreats somewhat and registers modest gains of 0.11%, trading at 1.2760.

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

After seesawing through most of the week, the GBP/USD pair has been range-bound, capped within the 1.2680-1.2785 range for the last four days, with key daily moving averages (DMAs) acting as support/resistance.

Momentum is also mixed, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) standing bearish yet aiming slightly up.

Hence if GBP/USD clears the top of the range, that could pave the way for higher prices. The first resistance would be the 1.2800 figure. Despite that, buyers need to reclaim the July 29 peak at 1.2888, before challenging the 1.2900 figure.

Conversely, if sellers stepped in, they would test the 200-DMA at 1.2657. Once cleared, the pair would shift bearish, and it can challenge the 1.2600 mark. Underneath this level, bears could drag the spot price to test the latest cycle low of 1.2445, the May 9 low.

GBP/USD Price Action – Daily Chart

British Pound PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD -0.01%-0.07%-0.47%-0.04%0.32%0.13%-0.30%
EUR0.00% -0.04%-0.40%-0.03%0.33%0.14%-0.29%
GBP0.07%0.04% -0.37%-0.01%0.37%0.17%-0.22%
JPY0.47%0.40%0.37% 0.37%0.76%0.55%0.16%
CAD0.04%0.03%0.00%-0.37% 0.35%0.17%-0.23%
AUD-0.32%-0.33%-0.37%-0.76%-0.35% -0.19%-0.59%
NZD-0.13%-0.14%-0.17%-0.55%-0.17%0.19% -0.40%
CHF0.30%0.29%0.22%-0.16%0.23%0.59%0.40% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.