|

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Bears gather steam, push prices below 1.3100

  • GBP/USD consolidates within the 1.3060-1.3140 range, with sellers maintaining control after last week's US jobs report boosted the Greenback.
  • The pair is downward biased after falling below the 50-DMA, with key support at the September 11 low of 1.3001 and the 100-DMA at 1.2935.
  • A break above 1.3100 could signal a reversal, with resistance at 1.3200, followed by the October 3 peak of 1.3269.

The British Pound lost some ground against the Greenback on Wednesday as traders await minutes of the Federal Reserve’s last meeting and US inflation data on Thursday. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD trades at 1.3070, below its opening price by 0.26%.

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The GBP/USD has consolidated within the 1.3060-1.3140 range for the last three days. The lack of a catalyst keeps market players uncertain, though last week’s US jobs report boosted the Greenback, which reached levels last seen in August 2024.

Momentum hints that sellers are in charge, as portrayed by the bearish reading of the Relative Strength Index (RSI).

In the short term, the pair is downward biased. The drop below the 50-day moving average (DMA) at 1.3087 opened the door for further losses. However, if sellers want to remain in charge, they must drive the exchange rate to the September 11 swing low of 1.3001. If that level is cleared, the 100-DMA at 1.2935 would be up for grabs, followed by the 200-DMA at 1.2784.

Conversely, if GBP/USD reclaims 1.3100 and rallies above 1.3200, it would open the door for further upside. The next resistance would be October 3 peak at 1.3269, followed by the October 2 high at 1.3305.

GBP/USD Price Action – Daily Chart

British Pound PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD 0.31%0.24%0.66%0.30%0.49%1.35%0.25%
EUR-0.31% -0.08%0.33%-0.04%0.22%0.99%-0.08%
GBP-0.24%0.08% 0.41%0.08%0.29%1.08%-0.00%
JPY-0.66%-0.33%-0.41% -0.33%-0.14%0.69%-0.42%
CAD-0.30%0.04%-0.08%0.33% 0.19%1.03%-0.07%
AUD-0.49%-0.22%-0.29%0.14%-0.19% 0.81%-0.29%
NZD-1.35%-0.99%-1.08%-0.69%-1.03%-0.81% -1.09%
CHF-0.25%0.08%0.00%0.42%0.07%0.29%1.09% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady above 1.1750 as traders await FOMC Minutes

The EUR/USD pair holds steady near 1.1770 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Traders continue to price in the prospect of further rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve in 2026, following the 25-basis-point rate reduction delivered at the December meeting. The release of the Federal Open Market Committee Minutes will be in the spotlight later on Tuesday.

GBP/USD finds key support near 1.35 despite year-end grind

GBP/USD remains bolstered on the high end as markets grind through the last trading week of the year. Cable caught a bullish tilt to keep price action on the high side of the 1.3500 handle, though year-end holiday volumes are unlikely to see significant progress in either direction as 2025 draws to a close.

Gold gains on Fed rate cut bets, safe-haven demand

Gold price edges higher above $4,350 during the Asian trading hours on Tuesday. The precious metal recovers some lost ground after falling 4.5% in the previous session, which was gold's largest single-day loss since October. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries, adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).