|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Sell-off cutting into Day-3 longs, 1.2050 eyed for days ahead

  • GBP/USD has sold off from a 50% mean reversion of the prior bearish daily impulse. 
  • We are seeing the following through with 1.20 eyed but the price is meeting some support at this juncture.
  • This opens the risk of a correction before the next move to the downside.

GBP/USD rallied in a parabolic fashion on Thursday on the third day of demand for the British Pound. The pair travelled from a low of 1.2056 to a high of 1.2194 before reversing back to test the midpoint of the 1.21 area and recently reaching a sell-off low of 1.2130. 

The US Dollar broke structure on the downside in the late London session and extended the move into the New York open only to reverse. Risk-off kicked in and sent the US bourses packing and cable off a cliff as the following illustrates:

DXY H1 chart

US500 H1 chart

GBP/USD technical analysis

GBP/USD has dropped into the parabolic rally and the length that had been building up into a climax. We had three levels of rise since the day opened in Asia in a massive pump-up that has concluded in a dump in the New York session. this coincided with the cash opening hour on Wall Street, 1730 GMT and at the London fix of 1600 GMT.

We are seeing the followthrough with 1.20 eyed but the price is meeting some support at this juncture:

This opens the risk of a correction before the next move to the downside with the ATR of 117 pips for the day already done within the 137 pip range so far:

A bullish close on the day will be giving us three bullish closes in a row and leaves the risk of another sell-off on Friday:

The price has already corrected to a 50% mean reversion of the prior bearish daily impulse. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD ticks north after ECB, US inflation data

The EUR/USD pair hovered around 1.1750 but is still unable to conquer the price zone. The European Central Bank left interest rates unchanged, as expected, upwardly revising growth figures. The US CPI rose 2.7% YoY in November, down from the 3.1% posted in October.

GBP/USD runs beyond 1.3400 on BoE, US CPI

The GBP/USD pair jumped towards the 1.3440 area on Thursday, following the Bank of England decision to cut rates, and US CPI data, which resulted much softer than anticipated. The pair holds on to substantial gains early in the American session.

Gold nears $4,350 after first-tier events

The bright metal advances in the American session on Thursday, following European central banks announcements and the United States latest inflation update. XAU/USD approaches weekly highs in the $4,350 region.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum hold steady while XRP slides amid mixed ETF flows

Bitcoin eyes short-term breakout above $87,000, underpinned by a significant increase in ETF inflows. Ethereum defends support around $2,800 as mild ETF outflows suppress its recovery. XRP holds above at $1.82 amid bearish technical signals and persistent inflows into ETFs.

Bank of England cuts rates in heavily divided decision

The Bank of England has cut rates to 3.75%, but the decision was more hawkish than expected, leaving market rates higher and sterling slightly stronger. It's a close call whether the Bank cuts again in February or March.

Ripple holds $1.82 support as low retail demand weighs on the token

Ripple (XRP) is trading between a key support at $1.82 and resistance at $2.00 at the time of writing on Thursday, reflecting the lethargic sentiment in the broader cryptocurrency market.