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GBP/USD Price Analysis: Death cross, 61.8% golden ratio probe recovery below 1.2100

  • GBP/USD struggles to extend the previous day’s rebound from one-month low, sidelined of late.
  • Oscillators suggest further recovery but death cross on the EMAs and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level probe bulls.
  • Five-week-old horizontal support area offers extra filters to the south.

GBP/USD fades the previous day’s rebound from a monthly low around 1.2050 heading into Wednesday’s London open. In doing so, the Cable pair justifies the bearish moving average crossover on the four-hour chart below the key Fibonacci retracement level.

That said, the 50-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) crosses the 200-bar EMA from above, which in turn portrays the “Death cross” and suggests further downside of the GBP/USD pair. Also challenging the quote is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of January 06-23 upside, near 1.2080.

It should be observed, however, that the gradual rise in the RSI (14) and the recently firmer MACD signals keep buyers hopeful.

As a result, the GBP/USD pair’s run-up beyond the immediate 1.2080 can’t be ruled out. In that case, the 50% Fibonacci retracement and the 200-EMA, respectively near 1.2150 and 1.2200, will be important to watch.

Should the pair remains firmer past 1.2200, it can again try to cross the 1.2445-50 horizontal hurdle.

On the flip side, the 1.2000 psychological magnet precedes the latest swing low near 1.1960 to limit the short-term GBP/USD downside.

Following that, a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since January 03 and the previous monthly low, close to 1.1930 and 1.1840 in that order, should lure the pair sellers.

GBP/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Limited upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.2052
Today Daily Change0.0012
Today Daily Change %0.10%
Today daily open1.204
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2275
Daily SMA501.2193
Daily SMA1001.1816
Daily SMA2001.1951
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2096
Previous Daily Low1.1961
Previous Weekly High1.2418
Previous Weekly Low1.205
Previous Monthly High1.2448
Previous Monthly Low1.1841
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2044
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2013
Daily Pivot Point S11.1969
Daily Pivot Point S21.1898
Daily Pivot Point S31.1834
Daily Pivot Point R11.2103
Daily Pivot Point R21.2167
Daily Pivot Point R31.2238

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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