|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Cable bulls stall near 1.2600, pullback hinges on UK GDP, Fed

  • GBP/USD retreats from the highest levels in five weeks as UK monthly data dump, Fed decision loom.
  • Overbought RSI, failure to cross fortnight-old resistance line and Doji candlestick challenge the Cable buyers.
  • Golden Fibonacci ratio, 200-SMA and bullish MACD signals put a floor under the Pound Sterling prices.

GBP/USD fades upside momentum at a multi-day high on the key day comprising the US Federal Reserve (Fed) verdict and the monthly UK data dump. That said, the Cable pair remains dicey near 1.2600 after rising the most in a week to prod the highest level since May 11 the previous day. Apart from the pre-data/event anxiety, the Pound Sterling also justifies the technical clues to tease the sellers on important data.

That said, overbought RSI conditions and an ascending resistance line from June 01, around 1.2615 by the press time, are the first-tier challenges for the GBP/USD bulls. Also restricting the Cable pair’s upside is the Doji candlestick on the four-hour play marked at the multi-day high, suggesting a pullback in prices.

Hence, the quote is likely to consolidate the latest gains, which in turn highlights the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of its May month fall, around 1.2535. It’s worth noting that the said technical level is also known as the golden Fibonacci ratio.

In a case where the GBP/USD drops below the said key Fibonacci support, it can fall to the 50% Fibonacci retracement near the 1.2500 round figure.

It should be noted, however, that the bullish MACD may join the 200-SMA level of 1.2485 to challenge the Cable bears afterward.

On the contrary, a clear upside past the latest peak of near 1.2625 could defy the bearish bias and propel the GBP/USD price towards challenging the previous monthly high of around 1.2680.

GBP/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.261
Today Daily Change0.0105
Today Daily Change %0.84%
Today daily open1.2505
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2442
Daily SMA501.2471
Daily SMA1001.231
Daily SMA2001.2021
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2599
Previous Daily Low1.2487
Previous Weekly High1.259
Previous Weekly Low1.2369
Previous Monthly High1.268
Previous Monthly Low1.2308
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.253
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2557
Daily Pivot Point S11.2462
Daily Pivot Point S21.2418
Daily Pivot Point S31.2349
Daily Pivot Point R11.2574
Daily Pivot Point R21.2643
Daily Pivot Point R31.2686

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to small gains near 1.1750

Following a short-lasting correction in the early European session, EUR/USD regains its traction and clings to moderate gains at around 1.1750 on Monday. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low, with investors awaiting this weeks key data releases from the US and the ECB policy announcements.

GBP/USD edges higher toward 1.3400 ahead of US data and BoE

GBP/USD reverses its direction and advances toward 1.3400 following a drop to the 1.3350 area earlier in the day. The US Dollar struggles to gather recovery momentum as markets await Tuesday's Nonfarm Payrolls data, while the Pound Sterling holds steady ahead of the BoE policy announcements later in the week.

Gold holds gains above $4,300 on prospect of further Fed rate cuts

Gold price extends its upside to around $4,305, the highest since October 21, during the early Asian trading hours on Tuesday. The precious metal edges higher on further US Federal Reserve cut bets. The US Nonfarm Payrolls report will take center stage later on Tuesday. Also, the US Retail Sales and Purchasing Managers Index will be published. 

Ethereum: BitMine acquires 102,259 ETH as price plunges 5%

Ethereum treasury company BitMine Immersion scaled up its digital asset stash last week after acquiring 102,259 ETH since its last update. The purchase has increased the company's holdings to 3.96 million ETH, worth about $11.82 billion. BitMine aims to accumulate 5% of ETH's circulating supply.

NFP preview: Complex data release will determine if Fed was right to cut rates

The long wait is over, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the US will release nonfarm payrolls reports for both November and October at 1330 GMT on Tuesday. The overall NFP figure for October is expected to be -10k, however, it is expected to be influenced by a massive 130k drop in federal department workers. 

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout.