|

GBP/USD marches towards 1.2600 as Fed sets to pause policy-tightening spell

  • GBP/USD is marching towards 1.2600 as a Fed rate-cycle pause would trim Fed-BoE policy divergence.
  • US labor market conditions carry the potential of making inflation persistent.
  • S&P500 futures are showing further losses in early Asia, indicating a risk-off mood.

The GBP/USD pair is approaching the round-level resistance of 1.2600 in the early Tokyo session. The Cable is aiming higher as the Federal Reserve (Fed) is following the language of other central banks. Fed chair Jerome Powell has confirmed that further monetary policy decisions will be data-dependent, which indicates that the central bank has reached an intermediate terminal rate for now.

S&P500 futures are showing further losses in early Asia after a bearish settlement. US equities surrendered their entire gains added in the early New York session amid uncertainty over the further path to be followed by the Fed to tame sticky inflation. Negative market sentiment has faded appeal for risk-sensitive assets.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is declining towards May 03 low around 101.07 amid neutral guidance from the Fed. Also, the US yields are heavily down amid an increase in demand for US government bonds. The 10-year US Treasury yields have dropped to near 3.36%.

Meanwhile, upbeat US labor market conditions are signaling that a hawkish stance from the Fed would not be over soon as labor shortage could propel inflationary pressures. On Wednesday, the US Automatic Data Processing (ADP) agency reported an addition of fresh 296K jobs in April vs. the estimates of 150K and the former release of 145K.

There is no denying the fact that extreme labor shortage would have been offset by offering higher wages, which carries the potential of making inflation persistent.

On the Pound Sterling front, the Bank of England (BoE) is expected to raise interest rates further as United Kingdom inflation is not ready to leave the double-digit territory despite consistent policy tightening. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey is ready to raise interest rates consecutively for the 12th time. An interest rate hike of 25 bps is anticipated by the market participants.

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2573
Today Daily Change0.0106
Today Daily Change %0.85
Today daily open1.2467
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2453
Daily SMA501.2267
Daily SMA1001.2215
Daily SMA2001.1944
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2512
Previous Daily Low1.2436
Previous Weekly High1.2584
Previous Weekly Low1.2387
Previous Monthly High1.2584
Previous Monthly Low1.2275
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2465
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2483
Daily Pivot Point S11.2431
Daily Pivot Point S21.2395
Daily Pivot Point S31.2355
Daily Pivot Point R11.2508
Daily Pivot Point R21.2548
Daily Pivot Point R31.2584

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).