|

GBP/USD falls to near 1.2300 as traders adopt caution ahead of Trump’s economic policies

  • GBP/USD depreciates following news that President Trump intends to direct federal agencies to review tariff policies.
  • Traders speculate that Trump’s policies could lead to inflationary pressures, possibly restricting the Fed to just one more rate cut.
  • UK gilts demand rose following weaker-than-expected Retail Sales data for December.

GBP/USD loses ground after registering more than 1% gains in the previous session, trading around 1.2300 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair faced challenges as the US Dollar (USD) regained ground after recent losses in the previous session, supported by news that President Donald Trump intends to direct federal agencies to review tariff policies and evaluate the United States' trade relationships with Canada, Mexico, and China.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar against six major currencies, trades around 108.30 after trimming recent gains. The US Dollar receives downward pressure as the US Treasury yields on 2-year and 10-year bonds remain subdued at 4.23% and 4.54%, respectively, at the time of writing.

According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders anticipate that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain borrowing rates within the current range of 4.25%-4.50% over the next three policy meetings. However, investors speculate that policies under Trump’s administration could trigger inflationary pressures, potentially limiting the Fed to only one additional rate cut.

The Pound Sterling (GBP) strengthened as demand for United Kingdom (UK) gilts increased following weaker-than-expected UK Retail Sales data for December. Monthly Retail Sales contracted by 0.3%, contrary to expectations of a 0.4% growth, which was anticipated to follow the 0.1% increase in November.

The unexpected drop in UK Retail Sales has reinforced dovish expectations for the Bank of England (BoE). Analysts at Oxford Economics forecast that the BoE may reduce interest rates by 100 basis points (bps), bringing them down to 3.75% by the end of the year.

British Pound PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the weakest against the Japanese Yen.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD 0.25%0.25%-0.33%0.77%0.40%0.36%0.05%
EUR-0.25% 0.00%-0.50%0.52%0.15%0.11%-0.20%
GBP-0.25%-0.01% -0.57%0.51%0.14%0.11%-0.20%
JPY0.33%0.50%0.57% 1.08%0.71%0.66%0.36%
CAD-0.77%-0.52%-0.51%-1.08% -0.36%-0.40%-0.71%
AUD-0.40%-0.15%-0.14%-0.71%0.36% -0.04%-0.34%
NZD-0.36%-0.11%-0.11%-0.66%0.40%0.04% -0.31%
CHF-0.05%0.20%0.20%-0.36%0.71%0.34%0.31% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).