|

GBP/USD faces barricades around 1.1930 as US Dollar Index rebounds

  • GBP/USD has sensed selling pressure around 1.1930 amid a recovery in the US Dollar Index.
  • A recovery in the risk-on profile is getting faded as investors turn anxious ahead of the US NFP release.
  • Higher wage inflation might for the Fed to stretch its terminal rate projections.

The GBP/USD pair is facing pressure while attempting the cross the immediate resistance of 1.1930 in the early European session. The Cable is expected to terminate its less-confident recovery as investors are pouring their funds back into the US Dollar Index (DXY) amid anxiety ahead of the release of the United States Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data.

The US Dollar Index is looking to extend its recovery above the immediate hurdle of 104.80 decisively and later on may focus on recapturing the critical resistance of 105.00. Meanwhile, S&P500 futures have marginally trimmed gains as the risk-off impulse is getting back in action. Uncertainty ahead of the first release of the US NFP of CY2023 cannot be ruled out. The 10-year US Treasury yields are still hovering below 3.72%.

Analysts at Goldman Sachs see the first US Nonfarm Payrolls data release of 2023 at 225K+. The Unemployment Rate is seen unchanged at 3.7%. Apart from the employment status, investors will keep an eye on the Average Hourly Earnings data. According to the consensus, the annual earnings data might trim to 5.0% from the former release of 5.1%.

The catalyst that is creating hurdles for the Federal Reserve (Fed) in achieving price stability is the higher wage inflation, which is providing room to households to accelerate their retail demand. An occurrence of the event would force the Fed to stretch its interest rate peak projections and may continue to keep borrowing costs on a higher time for a longer period.

On the United Kingdom front, the Pound Sterling remained lackluster on flat PMI data. S&P Composite PMI landed at 49.0 in line with the expectations and the prior release. While Services PMI dropped marginally to 49.9 from the consensus and the former release of 50.0.

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1906
Today Daily Change-0.0004
Today Daily Change %-0.03
Today daily open1.191
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2119
Daily SMA501.1947
Daily SMA1001.1666
Daily SMA2001.2024
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2078
Previous Daily Low1.1873
Previous Weekly High1.2126
Previous Weekly Low1.2002
Previous Monthly High1.2447
Previous Monthly Low1.1992
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1952
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2
Daily Pivot Point S11.1829
Daily Pivot Point S21.1749
Daily Pivot Point S31.1624
Daily Pivot Point R11.2034
Daily Pivot Point R21.2159
Daily Pivot Point R31.2239

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD extends slide below 1.1700

The EUR/USD pair nears its weekly low at around 1.1660 in the American session on Tuesday, retreating from the 1.1750 price zone tested earlier in the day. Cautiously optimistic markets support the US Dollar in the near term.

GBP/USD consolidates around 1.3500; looks to US macro data for fresh impetus

The GBP/USD pair oscillates in a narrow range, around the 1.3500 psychological mark during the Asian session on Wednesday, and for now, seems to have stalled the previous day's retracement slide from its highest level since September 18. Moreover, the fundamental backdrop seems tilted in favor of bullish traders and suggests that the path of least resistance for spot prices is to the upside.

Gold extends upside to near $4,500 on Venezuela turmoil

Gold price climbs to near $4,500 during the early Asian trading hours on Wednesday. The precious metal rises by more than 1% in the day as geopolitical tensions and expectations of US rate cuts keep demand for gold high. The US ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index report will be published on Wednesday. 

Australia CPI likely to test RBA hawkishness

The Australian Bureau of Statistics will publish the Consumer Price Index data for November at 00:30 GMT on Wednesday. This is the second complete monthly CPI report, as the government continues to transition from the quarterly CPI to the monthly gauge as the primary measure of headline inflation.

Implications of US intervention in Venezuela

Events in Venezuela are top of mind for market participants, and while developments are associated with an elevated degree of uncertainty, we are not making any changes to our markets or economic forecasts as a result of the deposition of Nicolás Maduro. 

Cardano holds steady as bulls intensify push for breakout

Cardano rises above the 50-day EMA resistance amid a risk-on mood across the crypto market. The MACD upholds positive divergence, increasing the potential for a 20% breakout to $0.505.