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GBP/USD eyes downside below 1.2420 ahead of UK Inflation, BoE Bailey’s speech eyed

  • GBP/USD is expected to display more weakness below 1.2420 as the focus shifts to BoE Bailey’s speech.
  •  The USD Index is facing barricades above 103.30 as the upside is capped due to further delay in US debt-ceiling issues.
  • UK’s inflation is seen declining due to a fall in the oil price.

The GBP/USD pair looks vulnerable above the immediate support of 1.2420 in the early European session. The Cable is struggling in defending the nearest cushion as investors are awaiting the speech from Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey.

S&P500 futures are holding half of the gains added in Asia, portraying a mildly positive market mood. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is facing barricades above 103.30 as the upside is capped due to further delay in US debt-ceiling issues and the downside is being supported by hawkish commentary from Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is expected to remain on the tenterhooks ahead of the preliminary S&P PMI figures (May). Manufacturing PMI is seen softening to 50.0 from the former release of 50.2. While Services PMI is expected to remain steady at 53.6. A second consecutive release of Manufacturing PMI above 50.0 would indicate that the manufacturing sector is coming out of the contraction phase.

On the Pound Sterling front, investors are awaiting the release of the United Kingdom’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. As per the preliminary report, the headline UK Consumer Price Index is seen at 8.3%, significantly lower than the prior release of 10.1% annually. Monthly headline CPI has shown a steady growth at 0.8%. Core CPI that excludes the impact of oil and food prices is expected to remain stable at 6.2%.

Going forward, the speech from BoE Andrew Bailey will remain in action. The speech from BoE’s Bailey is expected to provide the interest rate guidance for the monetary policy scheduled for June.

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.243
Today Daily Change-0.0007
Today Daily Change %-0.06
Today daily open1.2437
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2515
Daily SMA501.2416
Daily SMA1001.2274
Daily SMA2001.1971
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2472
Previous Daily Low1.2414
Previous Weekly High1.2547
Previous Weekly Low1.2392
Previous Monthly High1.2584
Previous Monthly Low1.2275
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2436
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.245
Daily Pivot Point S11.241
Daily Pivot Point S21.2382
Daily Pivot Point S31.2351
Daily Pivot Point R11.2468
Daily Pivot Point R21.25
Daily Pivot Point R31.2527

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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