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GBP/USD: Buyers attack 1.3600 as US dollar weakness battles UK’s virus-led lockdown

  • GBP/USD trims the previous day’s losses with eyes on April 2018 peak.
  • US dollar drops amid cautious optimism backed by virus vaccine, Georgian runoff hopes.
  • UK announced third lockdown, fears of South African variant of covid also loom.
  • US ISM Manufacturing PMI, UK virus updates and American politics will be the key.

GBP/USD picks up the bids around 1.3590, up 0.17% intraday while heading into the London open on Tuesday. The cable took a U-turn from the fresh high since April 2018 the previous and marked the heaviest losses in a week as the UK bears the burden of the coronavirus (COVID-19) resurgence. However, fresh expectations of battling the virus and further stimulus from the US back the corrective recovery. Hence, virus updates, US political news keep the driver’s seat ahead of the North American session when the US ISM Manufacturing PMI for December will be the key to watch.

With the virus-led death tolls growing past-100,000 in Britain, UK PM Boris Johnson had to option to announce the third national lockdown that is less likely to gain any relaxation before late-February. The moves, announced late-Friday, were already priced and had no major implications afterward. However, the mood remains downbeat as the British medical professional suggests that the COVID-19 variant traced from South Africa has a stronger resistance versus the vaccines and also spreads faster. Also challenging the trading sentiment could be New York’s first case of the covid strain found in the UK as well as Japan’s hint to take strictest activity restrictive measures to tame the pandemic’s resurgence.

On the positive side, the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) unveiled a nearly 95% success ratio of the leading coronavirus vaccines after two doses. Further, global markets put high hopes of the Democratic victory in the Georgian run-off.

Read: Georgia Elections Preview: Markets geared for a special moment, three scenarios

That said, S&P 500 Futures trim the latest gains to revisit the sub-3,700 area while FTSE 100 drops 0.30% by press time.

Looking forward, a light calendar in Europe may require the GBP/USD traders to closely watch over the British government’s further details on the lockdown as well as Brexit headlines, if any, for fresh impulse. Following that the US ISM Manufacturing PMI details for December will be the key to observe. It should, however, be noted that the risk catalysts will keep the driver’s seat.

Read: US Manufacturing PMI December Preview: COVID is the present but recovery is the future

Technical analysis

10-day SMA, at 1.3565 now, offers immediate support that drives GBP/USD upwards to the latest multi-month high of 1.3704.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.3592
Today Daily Change24 pips
Today Daily Change %0.18%
Today daily open1.3568
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3474
Daily SMA501.3319
Daily SMA1001.3166
Daily SMA2001.2858
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3704
Previous Daily Low1.3542
Previous Weekly High1.3686
Previous Weekly Low1.343
Previous Monthly High1.3686
Previous Monthly Low1.3134
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3604
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3642
Daily Pivot Point S11.3505
Daily Pivot Point S21.3442
Daily Pivot Point S31.3343
Daily Pivot Point R11.3668
Daily Pivot Point R21.3767
Daily Pivot Point R31.383

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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