GBP/JPY delivers a V-shape recovery from below 172.30 on mixed UK Retail Sales


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  • GBP/JPY has recovered sharply and has climbed to near 172.50 after the release of mixed UK Retail Sales.
  • Monthly UK Retail Sales have expanded sharply, portraying resilience in the households’ demand.
  • BoJ Ueda is considering options for tweaking YCC.

The GBP/JPY pair has slipped below the immediate support of 172.30 in the early European session. The cross has faced immense pressure after the release of the mixed United Kingdom Retail Sales data (April).

Monthly Retail Sales expanded by 0.5% vs. 0.3% as expected and against a contraction of 1.2% reported earlier. While annual Retail Sales missed estimates and contracted by 3.0% against the consensus of a 2.8% contraction. Monthly Retail Sales excluding volatile fuel factors have expanded by 0.5% while the street was anticipating an expansion of 0.3%.

Solid expansion in UK monthly Retail Sales indicates that households’ demand is resilient, which will keep pressure on the Bank of England (BoE). On Thursday, BoE interest rate-setter Jonathan Haskel said, if we do see evidence of more inflation persistence, we will tighten policy.

UK Finance Minister is confident that inflation will be halved by the year-end as promised by UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak. He further added the administration wants to cut taxes to provide relief to households from stubborn inflation and for that inflation needs to bring down otherwise it could have catastrophic effects.

On the Japanese Yen front, discussions about a tweak in Yield Curve Control (YCC) by Bank of Japan (BoJ) Kazuo Ueda have put the Japanese Yen under the spotlight. BoJ Ueda cited that “Shortening the duration of bond yields it targets to the five-year zone from the current 10-year zone could be among options."

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price 172.39
Today Daily Change -0.19
Today Daily Change % -0.11
Today daily open 172.58
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 170.78
Daily SMA50 166.98
Daily SMA100 163.92
Daily SMA200 164.12
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 172.78
Previous Daily Low 171.7
Previous Weekly High 172.51
Previous Weekly Low 168.91
Previous Monthly High 171.18
Previous Monthly Low 162.78
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 172.36
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 172.11
Daily Pivot Point S1 171.92
Daily Pivot Point S2 171.27
Daily Pivot Point S3 170.85
Daily Pivot Point R1 173
Daily Pivot Point R2 173.43
Daily Pivot Point R3 174.08

 

 

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