Forex Today: Yuan slump spurs risk-off; all eyes on German/ Eurozone PMIs
The risk-off trades crept into Asia this Thursday, fuelled by the Yuan sell-off and the Fed minutes, which tempered rate cut expectations. The Asian equities traded mostly lower alongside the US equity futures and Treasury yields. However, gold prices failed to benefit from the risk-off flows, as the US dollar held onto the overnight gains against its main competitors. Meanwhile, the upside in both crude benchmarks was capped by a limited demand for the risk assets.
Across the fx space, the onshore Chinese Yuan hit over 11-year lows against the US dollar, driving USD/CNY above 7.0750. As, a result, the Antipodeans were the weaklings, with the NZD/USD pair having suffered the most. The Kiwi fell to the lowest levels since January 2016 near 0.6370 region while the Aussie was in multi-day lows just ahead of the 0.6750 level.
The anti-risk Yen cheered the risk-averse mood, with USD/JPY down -0.20% below 106.50 region. In turn, the AUD/JPY cross, the fear gauge, emerged a big loser in Asia. The Canadian dollar also lost ground and fell below the 1.33 handle vs. its American counterpart.
Among the European currencies, both the EUR/USD pair and Cable traded almost unchanged, although the bias leaned towards the downside ahead of the key event risks.
Main Topics in Asia
German Finance Ministry: Early indicators point to sustained slowdown in industrial sector
US Sec. of State Pompeo: We heartily welcome Australia’s announcement…
US Defence Secretary Esper: China continues stealing US technology secrets - Fox News
North Korea: US cruise missile test, military moves 'dangerous,' still committed to dialogue – KCNA
Japan's Motegi: Trade talks with the US might reach an early achievement
Gold technical analysis: Trapped in a symmetrical triangle
PBOC sets Yuan reference rate at 7.0490
WTI technical analysis: Upside is being capped by falling channel resistance
Australian yield curve flattest since October 2010
China is not manipulating the Yuan - SCMP
Asian shares tentative after Fed minutes, Hang Seng charts death cross
China ForeignMin Spokesman Geng: China to impose sanctions on US companies for arms sales to Taiwan
China's onshore Yuan hits lowest since March 2008
Traders: Major Chinese state banks seen supporting the Yuan - Reuters
Key Focus Ahead
It’s the all-important PMI Thursday today, with the main focus on the German and Eurozone Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) manufacturing and services readings for August, which will set the tone for the EUR markets in the coming days. Markets already dread the looming German recession fears and a drop in the PMI numbers is likely to further fuel the concerns and calls for fresh stimulus to combat dwindling economic growth.
Also, the European Central Bank (ECB) Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts, due at 1130 GMT, will be closely eyed for fresh hints on the ECB’s stimulus plans. Ahead of the ECB event, the UK CBI Distributive Realized Sales will be reported at 1000 GMT, but the data is unlikely to have any impact on the pound ahead of the meeting between the UK PM Johnson and French President Macron on the Brexit problem.
In the NA session, the US Jobless Claims, Markit Manufacturing and Services PMI data, Canadian Wholesale Sales and Eurozone Consumer Confidence will grab some attention for fresh trading impetus amid looming US-China trade risks. Further, the comments from the US President Trump will be closely eyed ahead of the 3-day Fed’s Jackson Hole Symposium, starting later today.
EUR/USD: Bulls struggle to keep the pair above 1.11 ahead of German PMI
EUR/USD is on the defensive ahead of the release of all the all-important flash German and Eurozone Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) readings for the month of August. A flag breakdown on the 4-hour chart could be seen if Germany's PMI prints below estimates.
GBP/USD: Resilient ahead of Johnson-Macron meet
GBP/USD remains modestly flat after reversing from 21-DMA. Upbeat Brexit signals from Germany, the latest negative headlines from France highlights Johnson-Macron meet.
German PMI Preview: From bad to worse? EUR/USD is ready for another fall
Prospects for Germany's economy have likely remained grim in August. The ECB is watching the survey data ahead of its next decision. FXStreet's Surprise Index is pointing to a disappointing outcome that may weigh on EUR/USD.
Author
Dhwani Mehta
FXStreet
Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.
