|

Forex Today: Yen wakes up as the Dollar remains robust, RBNZ next

During the Asian session, the key event will be the Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy decision. Throughout the day, the final Service PMIs will be released. Eurostat will report the Producer Price Index and Retail Sales. The US will report the ISM Services PMI and Factory Orders. ADP will release its private employment report.

Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, October 4:

The Yen jumped on Tuesday, most likely due to an intervention from  Japanese authorities to prevent further depreciation of the currency. The move occurred when USD/JPY was trading above 150.00 and sent the pair as low as 147.28. However, it later trimmed losses and rose to 149.00. The short-term bias is downward, with volatility expected.

US JOLTS Job Openings came in above expectations and pushed US yields higher. The 10-year yield reached 4.80%, the highest since 2007. The US Dollar Index climbed to 107.34, the highest since November of last week, but pulled back with the USD/JPY retreat, ending the day slightly below 107.00.

The Greenback remains supported across the board by positive US data, higher yields, and cautious market sentiment. On Wall Street, stocks lost an average of 1.40% on Tuesday. On Wednesday, the ADP Employment report is due.

EUR/USD printed a fresh ten-month low near 1.0450 and then rebounded modestly to 1.0470. The pair remains under pressure. On Wednesday, Eurostat will release Retail Sales and the Producer Price Index.

GBP/USD finished the day flat, moving sideways around 1.2070. The pair bottomed after US data at 1.2052, the lowest level since March.

The Swiss Franc lagged behind following a lower-than-expected reading of the Swiss Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September, with the annual rate rising from 1.6% to 1.7%, below the expected 1.8%. USD/CHF peaked at 0.9244 and then pulled back toward 0.9200.

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will announce its decision on Wednesday. The key rate is expected to remain unchanged at 5.5%. NZD/USD dropped below the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) but managed to rise back above 0.5900.

AUD/USD tumbled for the second consecutive day, affected by the risk-off sentiment and the stronger dollar. The pair reached levels below 0.6300 last seen back in November 2022.

USD/CAD rose for the third consecutive day, breaking above September highs. The pair closed above 1.3700 and is now approaching March highs at 1.3861.

Gold dropped for the seventh day in a row, bottoming at $1,814 before trimming losses and moderately rising to $1,825. Silver recovered somewhat after falling more than 5% in the previous session, ending around $21.20.


Like this article? Help us with some feedback by answering this survey:

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends the drop to 1.3360

GBP/USD builds on Monday’s decline and briefly clinches five-day lows near 1.3360 on Tuesday. Cable’s extra pullback follows the better tone in the Greenback as uncertainty in the Middle East prompts investors to adopt a cautious stance. Meanwhile, an apathetic UK labour market report also collaborates with the selling pressure on the British Pound.

EUR/USD stays offered just above 1.1400

EUR/USD keeps the downtrend well in place for yet another day, challenging the 1.1400 contention zone on Tuesday. The continuation of the selling impulse in spot comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar, which continues to find support in the persistent effervescence surrounding the US-Iran crisis.

Gold hits one-week high, near $4,100 as bulls shrug off Fed hike bets and firmer USD

Gold advances to an over one-week high during the Asian session on Wednesday, with bulls now awaiting a move beyond $4,100 before positioning for additional gains. However, concerns about energy-driven inflation risks continue to fuel Fed rate-hike bets and act as a tailwind for the US Dollar amid escalating US-Iran tensions, which, in turn, could cap the bullion.

XRP rebounds on rising on-chain activity
Ripple (XRP) ticks up and trades around $1.13 at the time of writing on Tuesday. This rebound aligns with a broader recovery in the cryptocurrency market, attributed to reports that mediators between the United States (US) and Iran are seeking a 10-day cessation of strikes to find a way back to the signed Memorandum of Understanding (MoU).
The Iranian war has again risen
The Iranian war has again risen to the top of the economics factor list. There is no end in sight. Intelligence experts say the current level of offense/retaliation will not change minds in Tehran, while in Washington, Trump fears all-out war, which would mean boots on the ground.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.
Forex Today: Yen wakes up as the Dollar remains robust, RBNZ next