|

Forex Today: US Payrolls take centre stage

The FX universe witnessed a resumption of the appetite for the risk-linked assets ahead of the imminent release of the US labour market report at the end of the week. In line with the Federal Reserve and the ECB, the BoE left its policy rate unchanged at its event on Thursday, although following a divided vote.

Here is what you need to know on Friday, February 2:

The USD Index (DXY) dropped markedly and put the 103.00 support to the test, slipping back to the area below the key 200-day SMA. On Friday, all the attention is expected to be on the publication of Nonfarm Payrolls for the month of January, the Unemployment Rate, Factory Orders and the final print of the Michigan Consumer Sentiment.

EUR/USD regained balance and bounced off multi-week lows near 1.0780, an area also reinforced by the provisional 100-day SMA, on the back of the dollar’s lacklustre performance. Looking at Friday’s docket, the only release of note will be the ECB’s Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF).

GBP/USD printed a robust advance and regained the 1.2700 mark and well beyond after the BoE left its policy rate unchanged, while investors expect the central bank to start reducing rates around Q3 2024.

Renewed selling pressure in the greenback in combination with further weakness in US yields sponsored the second consecutive daily decline in USD/JPY, this time challenging the 146.00 support.

AUD/USD shrugged off part of the weekly bearishness and approached the 0.6580 zone after meeting initial contention near 0.6500 during early trade. In Oz, Home Loans and Investment Lending for Homes are due on Friday.  

Crude oil prices extended their decline and broke below the $74.00 mark per barrel, testing at the same time the transitory 55-day SMA.

Gold prices extended their uptrend to new highs past the $2060 yardstick, while Silver left behind two consecutive sessions of losses after rebounding from the $22.50 zone.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD deflates to fresh lows, targets 1.1600

The selling pressure on EUR/USD now gathers extra pace, prompting the pair to hit fresh multi-week lows in the 1.1625-1.1620 band on Friday. The continuation of the downward bias comes in response to further gains in the US Dollar as market participants continue to assess the mixed release of US Nonfarm Payrolls in December.

GBP/USD breaks below 1.3400, challenges the 200-day SMA

GBP/USD remains under heavy fire and retreats for the fourth consecutive day on Friday. Indeed, Cable suffers the strong performance of the Greenback, intensified post-mixed NFP, and trades at shouting distance from its critical 200-day SMA near 1.3380.

Gold flirts with yearly tops around $4,500

Gold keeps its positive bias on Friday, adding to Thursday’s advance and challenging yearly highs in the $4,500 region per troy ounce. The risk-off sentiment favours the yellow metal despite the firmer tone in the Greenback and rising US Treasury yields.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP risk further decline as market fear persists amid slowing demand

Bitcoin holds $90,000 but stays below the 50-day EMA as institutional demand wanes. Ethereum steadies above $3,000 but remains structurally weak due to ETF outflows. XRP ETFs resume inflows, but the price struggles to gain ground above key support.

Week ahead – US CPI might challenge the geopolitics-boosted Dollar

Geopolitics may try to steal the limelight from US data. A possible US Supreme Court ruling on tariffs could dictate market movements. A crammed data calendar next week, US CPI comes on Tuesday; Fedspeak to intensify.

XRP trades under pressure amid weak retail demand

XRP presses down on the 50-day EMA support as risk-averse sentiment spreads despite a positive start to 2026. XRP faces declining retail demand, as reflected in futures Open Interest, which has fallen to $4.15 billion.