|

Forex Today: US Payrolls take centre stage

The FX universe witnessed a resumption of the appetite for the risk-linked assets ahead of the imminent release of the US labour market report at the end of the week. In line with the Federal Reserve and the ECB, the BoE left its policy rate unchanged at its event on Thursday, although following a divided vote.

Here is what you need to know on Friday, February 2:

The USD Index (DXY) dropped markedly and put the 103.00 support to the test, slipping back to the area below the key 200-day SMA. On Friday, all the attention is expected to be on the publication of Nonfarm Payrolls for the month of January, the Unemployment Rate, Factory Orders and the final print of the Michigan Consumer Sentiment.

EUR/USD regained balance and bounced off multi-week lows near 1.0780, an area also reinforced by the provisional 100-day SMA, on the back of the dollar’s lacklustre performance. Looking at Friday’s docket, the only release of note will be the ECB’s Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF).

GBP/USD printed a robust advance and regained the 1.2700 mark and well beyond after the BoE left its policy rate unchanged, while investors expect the central bank to start reducing rates around Q3 2024.

Renewed selling pressure in the greenback in combination with further weakness in US yields sponsored the second consecutive daily decline in USD/JPY, this time challenging the 146.00 support.

AUD/USD shrugged off part of the weekly bearishness and approached the 0.6580 zone after meeting initial contention near 0.6500 during early trade. In Oz, Home Loans and Investment Lending for Homes are due on Friday.  

Crude oil prices extended their decline and broke below the $74.00 mark per barrel, testing at the same time the transitory 55-day SMA.

Gold prices extended their uptrend to new highs past the $2060 yardstick, while Silver left behind two consecutive sessions of losses after rebounding from the $22.50 zone.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: Gains remain capped below 1.1800

EUR/USD consolidates its upside below 1.1800 in the European trading hours on Monday. The pair trades listlessly amid a tepid market mood, despite a broadly subdued US Dollar. Mid-tier US Pending Home Sales are next in focus. 

GBP/USD hovers around 1.3500 amid cautious markets

GBP/USD is oscillating around 1.3500 in the European session on Monday, supported by broad US Dollar softness. But the upside appears limited due to thin market conditions heading into the New Year holiday break. 

Gold corrects from record high as profit-taking sets in

Gold price retreats from a record high near $4,550 in European trading on Monday as traders book some profits ahead of holidays. If the US Dollar finds renewed demand, it could also weigh on the precious metal, as it makes Gold more expensive for non-US buyers.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.