|

Forex Today: US inflation bolstered the risk appetite

The risk complex regained strong upside traction on the back of the generalized offered stance in the US Dollar in the wake of the release of US inflation data measured by the CPI in April.

Here is what you need to know on Thursday, May 16:

A dreadful session for the Greenback saw the USD Index (DXY) retreat further and revisit the area of the key 200-day SMA near 104.30 on Wednesday. On May 16, the US housing sector takes centre stage with the releases of monthly Building Permits and Housing Starts seconded by the usual Initial Jobless Claims, the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index and Industrial Production. In addition, Fed’s Barr, Harker, Mester and Bostic are all due to speak.

EUR/USD rose for the third session in a row and approached the 1.0900 hurdle always on the back of further USD-selling.The ECB’s Financial Stability Review will be the sole release on the domestic docket on May 16.

GBP/USD extended further its march north and traded at shouting distance from the 1.2700 hurdle. The BoE’s Financial Stability Report will be out on May 16.

USD/JPY interrupted its multi-day uptrend and receded to multi-session lows in the sub-155.00 zone following increasing weakness in the Dollar and declining yields. The advanced Q1 GDP Growth Rate, final Industrial Production prints and weekly Foreign Bond Investment are expected on May 16.

A robust session in the risk-linked assets propelled AUD/USD to levels just shy of the 0.6700 hurdle ahead of key data in Australia. The release of the labour market report and the speech by RBA’s Hunter are all due on May 16 in Oz.

A larger-than-expected drop in US crude oil supplies and the sharp pullback in the Greenback sustained the decent uptick in WTI prices despite the discouraging IEA report.

Gold prices surged to the proximity of the $2,400 zone per troy ounce on the back of rising expectations of Fed interest rate cuts, the weaker Dollar, and lower US yields. Silver followed suit and approached the key $30.00 mark per ounce, or five-week highs.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady below 1.1800

EUR/USD moves sideways in a narrow channel below 1.1800 as the market volatility remains low ahead of the New Year holiday. On Tuesday, investors will pay close attention to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 as trading conditions remain thin

GBP/USD corrects lower after posting strong gains in the previous week and trades below 1.3500 on Monday. With the action in financial markets turning subdued following the Christmas holiday, however, the pair's losses remain limited.

Gold holds above $4,300 after profit taking kicked in

Gold retreats sharply from the record-peak it set at $4,550 and trades below $4,400, losing more than 3% on the day. Growing optimism about a Ukraine-Russia peace agreement and profit-taking ahead of the New Year holiday seem to be causing XAU/USD to stay under heavy bearish pressure.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).