|

Forex Today: UK, EMU inflation come to the fore along with US data

Tuesday’s inconclusive price action in the FX universe came on the back of incessant speculation of a rate cut by the Fed in September, leaving the US Dollar and most of the risk-linked assets almost unchanged from Monday’s closing levels.

Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, July 17:

The USD Index (DXY) hovered around the low-104.00s after the effects from better-than-expected US Retail Sales fizzled out towards the end of Tuesday’s session.The usual weekly Mortgage Applications are due in the first turn on July 17, seconded by Building Permits, Housing Starts, Industrial Production and the Fed Beige Book. In addition, the Fed’s Barkin and Waller are also due to speak.

EUR/USD managed to leave behind the earlier knee-jerk and revisited the 1.0900 zone. On July 17, the final Inflation Rate in the broader Euroland will be the salient event on the old continent.

GBP/USD traded in a vacillating fashion, although it succeeded in keeping business near recent peaks just below 1.3000. The release of UK Inflation Rate takes centre stage on July 17.

USD/JPY added to Monday’s gains on the back of the resumption of the selling pressure around the Japanese currency. The Reuters Tankan Index is expected on July 17.

AUD/USD dropped markedly to multi-day lows near 0.6710, adding to Monday’s pullback amidst lower commodity prices and small gains in the Greenback. The Leading Index tracked by Westpac and the speech by the RBA’s Simon are due in Oz on July 17.

Persistent demand concerns weighed on traders and prompted WTI prices to retreat for the third session in a row and approach the $80.00 mark per barrel.

Prices of Gold advanced to a record high past the $2,460 mark per ounce troy as traders continued to assess rate cuts by the Fed. Its cousin Silver followed suit and rose past the $31.00 mark per ounce after two daily retracements in a row.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bounces back toward 0.6950 on fresh USD supply

AUD/USD bounces back toward 0.6950 in the Asian session on Friday. The US Dollar retreats from 17-month highs as traders take profits off the table ahead of the all-important US Nonfarm Payrolls report. Meanwhile, the Australian Dollar draws support from reviving expectations of a November interest rate hike amid elevated global yields and inflation risks.


USD/JPY struggles near 158.00 as USD retreats ahead of NFP

USD/JPY is struggling for fresh impetus near 158.00, moving away from the top end of its weekly range in the Asian session on Friday, after hotter-than-expected Tokyo CPI and amid a broad US Dollar retreat. Traders reposition themselves ahead of US Nonfarm Payrolls.

Gold remains capped below $4,200 as traders await US NFP for Fed rate cuts

Gold extends its sideways move on Friday, trading below the $4,200 mark heading into the European session as traders await the release of US employment details. The US Nonfarm Payrolls report is expected to show that the economy added only 90K jobs in September, down from the previous month's reading of 162K.

Pi Network retreats to key support level as selling pressure resurfaces

Pi Network price remains volatile in the near term, hovering around $0.0900 at press time on Friday after losing over 3% the previous day. The pullback warns of a steeper correction, with a risk of breaking below a rising wedge pattern on the four-hour chart. Pi Network struggles to maintain a steady recovery as the price remains capped below the $0.1000 psychological barrier.

US jobs report is due: We expect a hot one
In Japan, September Tokyo core CPI rose to 2.7% (cons: 2.4%). The figure was above the BOJ's 2% target for the first time since January. In commodities, Brent crude futures traded above USD 102/bbl on Friday morning after the WSJ reported that the Pentagon will be sending a third aircraft-carrier strike group and additional soldiers to the Middle East.
Markets are pricing a Fed pause. The jobs data says the hike is still coming
The market has rapidly changed its mind about the Federal Reserve (Fed). Only a week ago, investors saw an October interest-rate hike as the most likely outcome. However, softer inflation and cautious comments from policymakers have since turned a pause into the dominant scenario. Yet beneath that dramatic repricing, the US economy is sending a considerably less dovish message.