|

Forex Today: The Fed smashes the dollar

What you need to know on Thursday, March 18:

The dollar plummeted with the US Federal Reserve decision. As widely anticipated, the central bank left rates and quantitative easing unchanged. The Fed’s Summary of Projections showed on Wednesday that four policymakers see a lift-off in the fed funds rate from zero in 2022, compared to only one policymaker in December's publication. Additionally, the number of policymakers who see a lift-off in the fed funds rate from zero in 2023 rose to seven from five in December.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note soared to 1.689% ahead of the Fed, but trimmed most of its intraday gains ahead of the close, ending the day at 1.64%.

Wall Street ended in the green, after a soft start to the day. The DJIA and the S&P closed at record levels after the Fed reaffirmed its ultra-loose monetary policy.

EUR/USD approaches 1.2000, while GBP/USD trades around 1.3960, cautiously bullish ahead of BOE’s Monetary Policy decision on Thursday. Commodity-lined currencies were the best performers, with AUD/USD above 0.7800 and USD/CAD at fresh yearly lows around 1.2400. The USD/JPY pair is little changed down to 108.80.

Gold advanced to 1,750, ending the day at $ 1,744 a troy ounce. WTI was little changed, with the barrel trading at $64.50.

Fed Quick Analysis: Dovish dots down dollar, why this may be a buy opportunity

Ethereum price must hold this critical point to reach $2,300

Author

FXStreet Team

Composed of a group of economic journalists and FX experts, the FXStreet content team produces and oversees all content published on FXStreet. It provides a purely journalistic approach to the Forex market.

More from FXStreet Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.