|

Forex Today: Recession fears meet flash PMIs

Further decline saw the Greenback recede to levels last traded in late December 2023 in the sub-101.00 zone, as bets for a rate cut in September were boosted by the FOMC Minutes of the July gathering.

Here is what you need to know on Thursday, August 22:

The USD Index (DXY) retreated to the 100.90 zone against the backdrop of extra losses in US yields across the curve and firmer expectations of a rate cut in September. The Jackson Hole Symposium kicks in on August 22, while on the US docket are expected the usual weekly Initial Jobless Claims, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index, Existing Home Sales, and the advanced S&P Global Manufacturing and Services PMIs for the month of August.

EUR/USD accelerated its bullish impulse and hit new YTD peaks past 1.1170, always in response to the pronounced sell-off in the US Dollar. On August 22, the ECB will publish its Meeting Accounts, along with the release of preliminary HCOB Manufacturing and Services PMIs for the current month in both Germany and the broader euro area and the flash Consumer Confidence gauge in the bloc tracked by the European Commission.

Following its risky peers, GBP/USD reached fresh 2024 tops north of the 1.3100 barrier amidst the exacerbated selling pressure in the Greenback. The advanced S&P Global Manufacturing and Services PMIs for the month of August will be unveiled on August 22, seconded by the CBI Industrial Trends Orders.

USD/JPY added to the weekly leg lower and broke below the 145.00 support with certain conviction following lower yields and the sharp retracement in the Dollar. The preliminary Jibun Bank Manufacturing and Services PMIs are due on August 22, seconded by weekly Foreign Bond Investment figures.

Further gains saw AUD/USD clinch multi-day peaks near 0.6760 on the back of the continuation of the downward bias in the US Dollar. The flash Judo Bank Manufacturing and Services PMIs are expected on August 22.

Recession fears and omnipresent demand concerns coming from the sluggish Chinese economy weighed further on traders and dragged WTI prices to nearly seven-month lows around $71.50 per barrel.

Gold prices rose marginally, although enough to keep the trade above the key $2,500 mark per ounce troy. Silver left behind Tuesday’s irresolute day and advanced past the $29.00 mark per ounce.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD deflates to fresh lows, targets 1.1600

The selling pressure on EUR/USD now gathers extra pace, prompting the pair to hit fresh multi-week lows in the 1.1625-1.1620 band on Friday. The continuation of the downward bias comes in response to further gains in the US Dollar as market participants continue to assess the mixed release of US Nonfarm Payrolls in December.

GBP/USD breaks below 1.3400, challenges the 200-day SMA

GBP/USD remains under heavy fire and retreats for the fourth consecutive day on Friday. Indeed, Cable suffers the strong performance of the Greenback, intensified post-mixed NFP, and trades at shouting distance from its critical 200-day SMA near 1.3380.

Gold flirts with yearly tops around $4,500

Gold keeps its positive bias on Friday, adding to Thursday’s advance and challenging yearly highs in the $4,500 region per troy ounce. The risk-off sentiment favours the yellow metal despite the firmer tone in the Greenback and rising US Treasury yields.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP risk further decline as market fear persists amid slowing demand

Bitcoin holds $90,000 but stays below the 50-day EMA as institutional demand wanes. Ethereum steadies above $3,000 but remains structurally weak due to ETF outflows. XRP ETFs resume inflows, but the price struggles to gain ground above key support.

Week ahead – US CPI might challenge the geopolitics-boosted Dollar

Geopolitics may try to steal the limelight from US data. A possible US Supreme Court ruling on tariffs could dictate market movements. A crammed data calendar next week, US CPI comes on Tuesday; Fedspeak to intensify.

XRP trades under pressure amid weak retail demand

XRP presses down on the 50-day EMA support as risk-averse sentiment spreads despite a positive start to 2026. XRP faces declining retail demand, as reflected in futures Open Interest, which has fallen to $4.15 billion.