|

Forex Today: Recession fears meet flash PMIs

Further decline saw the Greenback recede to levels last traded in late December 2023 in the sub-101.00 zone, as bets for a rate cut in September were boosted by the FOMC Minutes of the July gathering.

Here is what you need to know on Thursday, August 22:

The USD Index (DXY) retreated to the 100.90 zone against the backdrop of extra losses in US yields across the curve and firmer expectations of a rate cut in September. The Jackson Hole Symposium kicks in on August 22, while on the US docket are expected the usual weekly Initial Jobless Claims, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index, Existing Home Sales, and the advanced S&P Global Manufacturing and Services PMIs for the month of August.

EUR/USD accelerated its bullish impulse and hit new YTD peaks past 1.1170, always in response to the pronounced sell-off in the US Dollar. On August 22, the ECB will publish its Meeting Accounts, along with the release of preliminary HCOB Manufacturing and Services PMIs for the current month in both Germany and the broader euro area and the flash Consumer Confidence gauge in the bloc tracked by the European Commission.

Following its risky peers, GBP/USD reached fresh 2024 tops north of the 1.3100 barrier amidst the exacerbated selling pressure in the Greenback. The advanced S&P Global Manufacturing and Services PMIs for the month of August will be unveiled on August 22, seconded by the CBI Industrial Trends Orders.

USD/JPY added to the weekly leg lower and broke below the 145.00 support with certain conviction following lower yields and the sharp retracement in the Dollar. The preliminary Jibun Bank Manufacturing and Services PMIs are due on August 22, seconded by weekly Foreign Bond Investment figures.

Further gains saw AUD/USD clinch multi-day peaks near 0.6760 on the back of the continuation of the downward bias in the US Dollar. The flash Judo Bank Manufacturing and Services PMIs are expected on August 22.

Recession fears and omnipresent demand concerns coming from the sluggish Chinese economy weighed further on traders and dragged WTI prices to nearly seven-month lows around $71.50 per barrel.

Gold prices rose marginally, although enough to keep the trade above the key $2,500 mark per ounce troy. Silver left behind Tuesday’s irresolute day and advanced past the $29.00 mark per ounce.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD defends 1.3300 after strong UK PMI data

Following Thursday's sharp decline, GBP/USD clings to small gains above 1.3300 in the American session on Friday, supported by the upbeat UK Retail Sales and July PMI data. Nevertheless, the pair's upside remains capped as investors cling to a cautious stance amid a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East. The US July PMI data failed to trigger relevant price action.

EUR/USD remains below 1.1400 after mixed US PMIs

EUR/USD pressures daily lows below the 1.1400 mark in the American session on Friday. Mixed S&P Global PMIs, as manufacturing output contracted while services activity expanded in July, triggered no relevant market reaction. The focus remains in Middle East developments and inflation-related concerns.

Gold holds above $4,050 but momentum still missing

Gold builds on its modest intraday bounce and climbs above the $4,050 level on Friday, hitting a fresh daily high amid a modest US Dollar pullback. The fundamental backdrop, however, warrants some caution before confirming that the pullback from an over two-week high, touched on Wednesday, has run its course and positioning for any meaningful upside.

Ethereum: Derivatives interest in ETH improves, but signs of caution remain

Ethereum is hovering slightly below the $1,900 level, down 3% on Thursday following a slight expansion in derivatives interest. The top altcoin's open interest has increased to 14.60 million ETH, marking a 600K ETH increase over the past two days and its highest level since June 7.

XRP retreats as ETF interest cools
Ripple (XRP) slides toward the short-term $1.10 support on Friday, as broader crypto market sentiment weighs on crypto assets. The sell-off mainly stems from fears of inflation in the United States (US) amid the ongoing war in the Middle East and rising Oil prices.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.