|

Forex Today: Markets’ attention shifts to data and Fedspeak

The Greenback managed to regain some balance amidst the broad-based small pullback in the risk complex, as investors started to gear up for US data and the ECB interest rate decision.

Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, July 16:

The USD Index (DXY) reclaimed some ground lost and printed humble gains around the low-104.00s. The release of Retail Sales for the month of June will take centre stage on July 16 ahead of Business Inventories and the NAHB Housing Market Index. In addition, the Fed’s Kugler is due to speak.

EUR/USD came under some selling pressure soon after rising to fresh monthly highs around 1.0920. On July 16, the ECB will publish its Bank Lending Survey, seconded by the release of the Economic Sentiment tracked by the ZEW institute in the euro area and Germany.

GBP/USD gave away part of the recent strong gains, although a test of 1.3000 appears just around the corner. The UK docket is empty on July 16.

USD/JPY traded in an inconclusive fashion amidst modest gains in the greenback and mixed US yields. The Tertiary Industry Index is expected on July 16.

AUD/USD failed to retest the 0.6800 mark and retreated for the first time after four consecutive daily gains. There are no data releases scheduled in Oz on July 12.

Small gains in the greenback in combination with poor GDP data from China weighed on traders and dragged WTI prices below the $82.00 mark per barrel, or three-day lows.

Gold prices extended its march north and approached the area of record highs near $2,440 per ounce troy. Silver, on the other hand, added to Friday’s losses and retreated modestly to the vicinity of the $30.00 zone per ounce.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD tests 1.1800, closes in on a fresh two-month high

EUR/USD extends its gains for the second consecutive day on Tuesday and trades near 1.1800. The broad-based US Dollar weakness and a potential policy divergence between the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve keep the bullish bias intact heading into the holiday season.

GBP/USD climbs above 1.3500 area, renews 11-week peak

GBP/USD extends its weekly rally and trades at its highest level since early October above 1.3500. The US Dollar remains under persistent bearish pressure heading into the Christmas break, while Pound traders largely brush off the latest interest rate cut from the Bank of England.

Gold approaches $4,500 as record-setting rally continues

Gold builds on Monday's impressive gains and advances toward $4,500, setting fresh record-highs along the way. Heightened geopolitical tensions, combined with the ongoing US Dollar (USD) selloff ahead of the Q3 GDP data, help XAU/USD preserve its bullish momentum.

US GDP expected to highlight steady growth in Q3

The United States Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) will publish the first preliminary estimate of the third-quarter Gross Domestic Product on Tuesday, at 13:30 GMT. Analysts expect the data to show annualized growth of 3.2%, following the 3.8% expansion in the previous quarter.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

XRP steadies above $1.90 support as fund inflows and retail demand rise

Ripple (XRP) is stable above support at $1.90 at the time of writing on Monday, after several attempts to break above the $2.00 hurdle failed to materialize last week. Meanwhile, institutional interest in the cross-border remittance token has remained steady.