|

Forex Today: Fed holds, Dollar slides and stocks rise

Markets will continue to digest the FOMC meeting. During the Asian session, Australia is scheduled to release trade data and home loan figures. Later in the day, Switzerland will report consumer inflation data. More US employment data is due with the weekly jobless claims, leading up to Friday's NFP.

Here is what you need to know on Thursday, November 2:

The Federal Reserve (Fed) decided to keep the fed fund target range unchanged at 5.25% to 5.50%, which was in line with market expectations. The statement issued by the Fed was similar to the one released in September, and Chair Jerome Powell's remarks did not contain any surprises.

Analysts at Wells FArgo on the FOMC:

For the third time in the past four policy meetings, the FOMC decided to keep rates on hold today, although it continues to keep the door open to hiking again. It appears to us that the bar for further rate increases is getting increasingly higher.

The US Dollar Index erased its gains following Fed Chairman Powell's press conference. After trading above 107.00 and reaching weekly highs, the DXY closed below 106.70. The US Dollar faced downward pressure due to increased risk appetite and higher demand for Treasuries. In the stock market, the Dow Jones gained 0.67%, while the Nasdaq rose by 1.64%.

Regarding US data releases on Wednesday, the results were mixed. The ADP employment report showed a modest increase in private payrolls by 113,000, falling below the market expectation of 150,000 but surpassing September's figure of 89,000. The JOLTS jobs opening data exceeded market consensus at 9.55 million. However, the ISM Manufacturing PMI unexpectedly dropped to 46.7 in October, lower than the anticipated reading of 49. These figures had minimal impact on the markets.

Upcoming data from the US includes the weekly jobless claims and Q3 Unit Labor Costs. On Friday, the focus will be on the release of Nonfarm Payrolls.

EUR/USD trim losses after the Fed. It traded under the critical support level of 1.0520 for a few minutes, and then rebounded to 1.0580, supported by the weaker US Dollar.

GBP/USD remained flat around 1.2145 after briefly trading below 1.2100. The pair continues to move sideways with a downside bias. The Bank of England is expected to keep the key rate unchanged at 5.25%, with a potentially divided vote. Governor Andrew Bailey will hold a press conference following the decision.

Japanese authorities expressed concerns about "one-sided moves," but USD/JPY remained firm above 150.00, trading near multi-decade highs. It declined below 151.00 after the FOMC, affected by lower Treasury yields.

USD/CHF lost ground and traded below 0.9100, moving away from monthly highs. Switzerland will report its October Consumer Price Index, with the headline figure expected to remain at 1.7% YoY.

AUD/USD had its best day in weeks, consolidating gains after the Fed decision and approaching the 0.6400 area. If it surpasses that level, further gains are likely. Positive market sentiment is crucial for the pair. Australia will release trade data on Thursday.

USD/CAD reached fresh one-year highs at 1.3898 but then retraced to 1.3860. The pair faces strong resistance near 1.3900.

Gold experienced its third consecutive day of losses, however it closed at $1,978 after bottoming at $1,969.90. Silver also trimmed losses during the American hours and ended around $22.70.


Like this article? Help us with some feedback by answering this survey:

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.