|

EUR/USD supported by ECB rumours, looks to US CPI

The single currency stays bid during the European morning, with EUR/USD navigating the area above 1.1400 the figure.

EUR/USD supported by ECB rumours, looks to US CPI

The pair is extending the sideline theme around the 1.1400 handle after being rejected from fresh 14-month peaks near 1.1490 on Wednesday.

EUR/USD climbed higher on the back of dovish comments from FOMC’s permanent voter Lael Brainard earlier in the week, although the abrupt bullish attempt run out of legs in the vicinity of the key handle at 1.1500 the figure.

The greenback, in the meantime, seems to have found insufficient both testimonies by Chair J.Yellen on Wednesday and Thursday to move higher, relegating instead the US Dollar Index to menader in the mid-95.00s.

EUR at the same time stays supported by recent news citing President Draghi will announce some sort of tapering at the Jackson Hole Symposium later in the year, while recent activity in EUR futures markets keeps pointing to ocassional dips to stay shallow.

Later in the session, US CPI and retail sales for the month of June will be key in determining the buck’s direction in the near term, while they could also collaborate in the building of expectations of further tightening by the Federal Reserve in the next months.

Additional US data will see capacity utilization, industrial and manufacturing production, July’s advanced consumer sentiment and the speech by Dallas Fed R.Kaplan (voter, hawkish).

EUR/USD levels to watch

At the moment, the pair is gaining 0.12% at 1.1412 facing the immediate hurdle at 1.1435 (long-term resistance line) followed by 1.1489 (2017 high Jul.12) and finally 1.1500 (psychological handle). On the flip side, a breach of 1.1371 (low Jul.13) would target 1.1321 (21-day sma) and finally 1.1311 (low Jul.5).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD gathers strength above 1.1750 as Fed rate cut prospects pressure US Dollar

The EUR/USD pair trades in positive territory around 1.1775 during the early Asian session on Monday. The prospect of a US Federal Reserve rate cut in 2026 weighs on the US Dollar against the Euro. Markets brace for US President Donald Trump to nominate a Fed chair to replace Jerome Powell, whose term ends in May. 

GBP/USD edges lower near 0.7400, eyes Fed rate cut outlook

GBP/USD edges lower after a gap-up open, trading around 0.7410 during the Asian hours on Monday. However, the pair may gain ground as the US Dollar faces challenges, which could be attributed to growing expectations of two more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2026.

Gold retreats from record highs, heads toward $4,550

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high at $4,550 earlier in the Asian session on Monday and eases toward $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the New Year break. The US Dollar bearish bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Ethereum Annual Price Forecast: ETH poised for growth in 2026 amid regulatory clarity and institutional adoption

Ethereum lost 12% of its value in 2025, declining from $3,336 at the beginning of the year to $2,930 as of the third week of December, a stark contrast from 2024's 48% gain. But that percentage doesn't do justice to the wild year ETH had in 2025.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.