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EUR/USD rises toward 1.0900 after US Core PCE

  • US February Core PCE inflation comes in at 4.6%, below 4.7% expected.
  • US yields hits fresh daily lows, US Dollar weakens.
  • EUR/USD erases most of it day’s losses after numbers.

The EUR/USD rose from 1.0866 to 1.0895 following the release of US Core Consumer inflation that came in slightly below expectations. The figures weighed on the US Dollar that lost ground across the board.

The Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index rose 0.3% in February, less than the 0.4% of market consensus to an annual rate of 4.6%, below the 4.7% of January. The PCE Price Index rose 0.3% in February and 5% YoY. The same report showed that Personal income grew by 0.3%, above the 0.2% expected while Personal Spending rose by 0.5%, surpassing consensus of 0.3%

The numbers showed consumer inflation in the US falling slowly. The February core CPE matched the lowest reading in 15 months. Those numbers could be welcome by the Fed, but still shows inflation remains elevated. The Chicago PMI and University of Michigan’s Consumer Confidence will be released later on Friday.

In the Eurozone, the Harmonised CPI came in softer at 6.9% YoY in March, down from 8.5%, below expectations of a drop to 7.1%. The Core CPI steadied at 5.7% YoY.

The US Dollar fell moderately across the board after the report as US yields sank. The 10-year Treasury yield fell from 3.54% to 3.51%, the lowest since Tuesday. The DXY is still up for the day, but it moved off highs.

The EUR/USD moved to the upside, approaching 1.0900. Still it remains below that relevant area. Earlier it peaked at 1.0925, before turning to the downside. It bottomed at 1.0863. On a weekly basis, the pair is heading toward the highest close in a year.

In the short term, the pair is moving with a bullish bias but is being unable to break the 1.0925/30 resistance and shows difficulties holding above 1.0900. Downward correction could find support at 1.0855/60 and 1.0820.

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0886
Today Daily Change-0.0019
Today Daily Change %-0.17
Today daily open1.0905
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0714
Daily SMA501.0732
Daily SMA1001.0646
Daily SMA2001.034
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0926
Previous Daily Low1.0824
Previous Weekly High1.093
Previous Weekly Low1.0631
Previous Monthly High1.1033
Previous Monthly Low1.0533
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0887
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0863
Daily Pivot Point S11.0844
Daily Pivot Point S21.0782
Daily Pivot Point S31.0741
Daily Pivot Point R11.0947
Daily Pivot Point R21.0988
Daily Pivot Point R31.105

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

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