|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Euro rebounds to target 1.0750 amid persistent bears ahead of key US data

  • EUR/USD picks up bids to rebound from two-month low, snaps three-day losing streak.
  • Ascending trend line from November 2022, 200-day EMA challenges Euro bears amid downbeat RSI (14).
  • Buyers need validation from 100-day EMA, three-week-old resistance line guards immediate recovery.

EUR/USD consolidated weekly losses at the lowest levels since late March, mildly bid near 1.0735 during early Friday morning in Europe.

In doing so, the major currency pair prints the first daily gains in four while bouncing off a six-month-long rising trend line.

That said, the recently oversold RSI (14) line adds strength to the EUR/USD pair’s corrective bounce. However, bearish MACD signals and a downward-sloping resistance line from early May, close to 1.0765 at the latest, challenge the Euro pair buyers.

Even if the EUR/USD buyers manage to cross the 1.0765 hurdle, the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of around 1.0780 can act as the last defense of the EUR/USD bears before directing it to the mid-month peak surrounding 1.0900.

It should be noted that the EUR/USD remains bearish unless crossing the 1.1000 psychological magnet.

On the flip side, the aforementioned support line and the 200-day EMA, respectively near 1.0710 and 1.0685, restrict the short-term EUR/USD downside.

Following that a slump towards the yearly low marked in March around 1.0515 can’t be ruled out.

Overall, EUR/USD remains on the bear’s radar despite the latest corrective bounce.

EUR/USD: Daily chart

Trend: Bearish

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.0735
Today Daily Change0.0010
Today Daily Change %0.09%
Today daily open1.0725
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0901
Daily SMA501.0903
Daily SMA1001.0815
Daily SMA2001.0479
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0757
Previous Daily Low1.0708
Previous Weekly High1.0904
Previous Weekly Low1.076
Previous Monthly High1.1095
Previous Monthly Low1.0788
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0726
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0738
Daily Pivot Point S11.0703
Daily Pivot Point S21.0681
Daily Pivot Point S31.0654
Daily Pivot Point R11.0752
Daily Pivot Point R21.0779
Daily Pivot Point R31.0801

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD clings to daily gains near 1.3350

GBP/USD holds just in positive territory around 1.3350 on Friday as the Greenback keeps a vacillating price action. With Fed rate hike expectations easing and US markets closed for the Independence Day holiday, Cable remains on track to post solid weekly gains.

EUR/USD remains sidelined around 1.1440

EUR/USD holds on to its recent gains and consolidates around 1.1440 at the end of the week as the US Dollar lacks clear direction. In the meantime, trading conditions remain subdued, with volatility constrained by the closure of US markets for the Independence Day holiday.

Gold flirts with two-week highs, targets $4,200

Gold extends its recovery for a third straight day, advancing toward the $4,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal looks set to snap a four-week losing streak as softer-than-expected June US NFP data prompt investors to scale back expectations of further Fed tightening.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP advance amid renewed capital inflows

Bitcoin maintains its upward momentum, holding above the $61,000 mark at the time of writing on Friday. Major altcoins such as Ethereum and Ripple are also posting gains, signaling a modest uptick in market sentiment and renewed risk appetite among investors.

The Iran war failed to trigger a recession. Can the US economy keep defying expectations?

Nearly four months after the start of the Iran war, the US economy remains remarkably resilient. While the conflict initially triggered a severe disruption to global energy markets and a sharp rise in Oil prices, recent diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran has eased concerns about a prolonged supply shock.

Kevin Warsh offers no policy clues: Why markets still got their answer

Financial markets came to Sintra looking for clues about the Federal Reserve's (Fed) next move. They largely left with confirmation that Fed Chair Kevin Warsh intends to make those clues much harder to find.