|

EUR/USD around 1.1630 on EMU’s CPI

  • Inflation in the euro area surprised to the downside.
  • EMU’s GDP expected to expand 2.5% YoY.
  • Spot stays in red near 1.1630.

The bearish note around the European currency remains unchanged on Tuesday and is now taking EUR/USD to the 1.1630 region in the wake of key releases in the euro area.

EUR/USD stays offered post-data

The pair remains unable to gather some traction today despite EMU’s advanced GDP figures showed the economy in the region is expected to expand at an annualized 2.5% during the July-September period and 0.6% inter-quarter, both prints surpassing prior surveys.

Still on the bright side, unemployment in the euro bloc ticked lower to 8.9% in September, bettering initial estimates.

However, critical inflation figures in the region tracked by the CPI showed headline consumer prices are seen rising at 1.4% on a year to October, while prices stripping food and energy costs are expected to rise 1.1% YoY, both prints coming in below expectations.

The pair, in the meantime, remains on the defensive for the day and keeps retracing Monday’s advance to the vicinity of 1.1660.

EUR/USD levels to watch

At the moment, the pair is losing 0.16% at 1.1631 and a breakdown of 1.1575 (low Oct.27) would open the door to 1.1448 (high Jun.30) and finally 1.1254 (200-day sma). On the other hand, the next up barrier lines up at 1.1658 (high Oct.30) seconded by 1.1683 (100-day sma) and then 1.1729 (10-day sma).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD tumbles to three-day lows around 1.3420

GBP/USD comes under extra selling pressure and revisits the area of multi-day lows near 1.3420 in quite a bearish start to the week. Cable’s decline comes amid the firmer Greenback as investors continue to assess developments in the US-Iran conflict. Moving forward, attention will turn to the UK employment report on Tuesday.


EUR/USD meets some initial contention around 1.1400

EUR/USD keeps the bearish bias well in place, slipping back toward the 1.1400 region, where some initial support appears to have turned up. The auspicious start to the week of the US Dollar has kept the risk complex under pressure as investors has continued to closely follow developments from the Middle East conflict. The release of the ZEW Economic Sentiment in the Euroland and Germany are next on tap on the domestic calendar.

Gold stuck just above $4,000

Gold reverses Friday’s uptick, gyrating around the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce at the beginning of the week. Escalating military action in the Middle East provides some support to the safe-haven metal, although expectations of higher US interest rates bolster the US Dollar and keeps its under the microscope.

Ethereum Price Forecast: BitMine slows ETH accumulation in favor of share buybacks
Ethereum (ETH) is hovering near $1,900 following a drop in accumulation by BitMine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) in favor of $85 million worth of share buybacks and continued recovery in ETH exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Ethereum treasury firm BitMine scooped up 7,430 ETH last week, marking its lowest weekly acquisition since pivoting to a crypto treasury model.
Here's where the Canadian Dollar is headed next: 4 bearish scenarios and a bullish one
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) has ridden a volatile first half of the year, with Oil prices surging and then falling as markets danced to the Middle East’s tune. Neither the Bank of Canada nor the Federal Reserve has changed rates so far this year, and the USD/CAD's next move may depend on which of the two banks fails to deliver what markets expect.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.