|

EUR/USD appreciates to near 1.0400 ahead of Eurozone HICP inflation

  • EUR/USD rises as the US Dollar corrects downwards ahead of ISM Services PMI due later in the North American session.
  • The US Dollar could receive some support after President-elect Trump stated that his tariff policy will not be scaled back.
  • Traders await the preliminary Eurozone HICP inflation data for December scheduled to be released on Tuesday.

EUR/USD continues its winning streak for the third successive session, trading around 1.0400 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The upside of the EUR/USD pair is attributed to the subdued US Dollar (USD). Later in the day, the US ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) is set to be released. On Wednesday, markets will focus on the Minutes from the Federal Reserve's (Fed) December policy meeting.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the USD's performance against six major currencies, remains under pressure for the third straight session, trading near 108.20 at the time of writing. However, the Greenback may find some support following President-elect Donald Trump's comments that his tariff policy will not be scaled back.

Trump refuted a Washington Post report suggesting his team was considering limiting the scope of his tariff plan to only cover specific critical imports. Traders are expected to closely watch developments related to Trump's tariff strategy.

The Euro gained support from stronger European inflation data released on Monday. Germany's Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose to 2.6% in December, up from 2.2% in November, surpassing expectations of 2.4%, and marking its highest level in nearly a year. This represented the third consecutive monthly increase in German inflation.

In addition, stronger-than-expected PMI data from Spain, Italy, France, Germany, and the Eurozone likely supported the Euro. These reports reinforced expectations that the European Central Bank (ECB) would proceed cautiously with interest rate cuts, leading traders to slightly reduce their bets on more aggressive easing.

Economic Indicator

Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)

The Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) measures changes in the prices of a representative basket of goods and services in the European Monetary Union. The HICP, released by Eurostat on a monthly basis, is harmonized because the same methodology is used across all member states and their contribution is weighted. The MoM figure compares the prices of goods in the reference month to the previous month. Generally, a high reading is seen as bullish for the Euro (EUR), while a low reading is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Next release: Tue Jan 07, 2025 10:00 (Prel)

Frequency: Monthly

Consensus: -

Previous: -0.3%

Source: Eurostat

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trades around 1.1700 after rebounding from 50-day EMA

EUR/USD gains ground after three days of losses, trading around 1.1700 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. On the daily chart, technical analysis indicates a potential for a bearish bias; the 14-day Relative Strength Index at 47 confirms waning momentum.

GBP/USD climbs above 1.3500 as US Dollar weakens ahead of ISM Services PMI

GBP/USD gains some ground after registering modest gains in the previous session, trading around 1.3510 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair edges higher as the US Dollar struggles ahead of the US ISM Services Purchasing Managers’ Index and JOLTs job openings due later in the day.

Gold pulls back from $4,500 amid profit-taking ahead of key US macro data

Gold struggles to capitalize on its strong weekly gains registered over the past two days and faces rejection near the $4,500 psychological mark, or over a one-week high touched during the Asian session on Wednesday. As investors digest the recent US attack on Venezuela, the prevalent risk-on environment prompts some profit-taking around the commodity. 

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple cool off as rally stalls near key resistance zones

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple prices are taking a breather on Wednesday near their key resistance levels following the recent surge. BTC faces rejection at the $94,253 level, while ETH and XRP follow BTC’s footsteps, struggling near $3,308 and $2.35, respectively.

Implications of US intervention in Venezuela

Events in Venezuela are top of mind for market participants, and while developments are associated with an elevated degree of uncertainty, we are not making any changes to our markets or economic forecasts as a result of the deposition of Nicolás Maduro. 

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE eyes bullish breakout as on-chain and derivatives data turns supportive

Aave (AAVE) price hovers around $172 on Wednesday, nearing the upper trendline of the falling parallel channel pattern. A break above this technical pattern favors the bulls.