|

EUR/JPY extends the decline below 169.50, Eurozone GDP data looms

  • EUR/JPY loses traction near 169.20 in Friday’s European session, down 0.18% on the day. 
  • The German Industrial Production declined 0.1% MoM in April from a 0.4% decrease in March, worse than expected.
  • BoJ’s Ueda said inflation expectations are gradually rising but have yet to reach 2%.

The EUR/JPY cross extends the decline towards 169.20 during the early European trading hours on Friday. The cross edges lower after the release of weaker-than-expected German April Industrial Production. Additionally, the verbal intervention from Japanese authorities early Friday continues to support the Japanese Yen (JPY) and weigh on EUR/JPY for the time being. 

Industrial production in the German manufacturing sector remained in contraction in April, the country's Federal Statistical Office Destatis reported on Friday. The German Industrial output declined 0.1% MoM in April from a 0.4% decrease in March, worse than the estimation of a 0.3% increase. The Euro (EUR) attracts some sellers following the downbeat German Industrial production and creates a headwind for the cross. 

On Thursday, the European Central Bank (ECB) decided to cut interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) at its June meeting, as widely anticipated by markets. ECB policymakers raised their annual average headline inflation outlook for 2024 to 2.5% from 2.3% earlier in its updated macroeconomic projections. Investors await the Eurozone Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the first quarter (Q1) on Friday for fresh impetus. The GDP number is estimated to grow 0.3% QoQ and 0.4% YoY in Q1, unchanged from the previous reading. 

On the JPY’s front, many analysts believe the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will decide to trim its government bond buying when authorities meet next week. About 70% see the odds of such action rising due to the recent weakening of the Japanese Yen, according to a Bloomberg survey. On Thursday, BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda said that inflation expectations are gradually rising but have yet to reach 2%, adding that they are “still scrutinizing market developments since the March decision”. Meanwhile, the BoJ board member Toyoaki Nakamura stated that it is suitable to maintain the current policy intact for the time being.

EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price169.22
Today Daily Change-0.24
Today Daily Change %-0.14
Today daily open169.46
 
Trends
Daily SMA20169.54
Daily SMA50166.96
Daily SMA100164.4
Daily SMA200161.56
 
Levels
Previous Daily High170.29
Previous Daily Low169.21
Previous Weekly High170.8
Previous Weekly Low169.07
Previous Monthly High170.8
Previous Monthly Low164.02
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%169.62
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%169.88
Daily Pivot Point S1169.02
Daily Pivot Point S2168.57
Daily Pivot Point S3167.94
Daily Pivot Point R1170.1
Daily Pivot Point R2170.74
Daily Pivot Point R3171.18

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retreats toward 1.1700 on modest USD recovery

EUR/USD stays under mild bearish pressure and trades below 1.1750 on Friday. Although trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, the modest recovery seen in the US Dollar causes the pair to edge lower. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes near 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades marginally lower on the day at around 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold advances toward $4,400 and gains more than 1.5% on the day after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking heading into the end of the year. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).