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EUR/GBP reverses a dip to multi-day lows, back above mid-0.8800s post-ECB

   •  ECB maintains status-quo and leaves interest rates unchanged, as was expected.
   •  The central bank now sees rates to stay at current levels at least through 1H 2020.
   •  TLTRO pricing interpreted as hawkish decision and provides a minor lift to the EUR.

The EUR/GBP cross quickly reversed a dip to fresh session tops and rallied around 25-30 pips after the latest ECB monetary policy update.

As was widely expected, the European Central Bank (ECB) maintained status-quo and left interest rates unchanged at the conclusion of its June monetary policy meeting held this Thursday. In the accompanying monetary policy statement, the central bank now sees interest rates at present levels at least through 1H 2020. 

The change in the forward guidance was rather dovish but the rate applied for the TLTRO turned out to be the biggest surprise and interpreted as a hawkish decision. The central bank said that TLTRO rate can be as low as deposit facility +10 bps as against consensus for somewhere around deposit rate -20 bps.

The shared currency rallied across the board, albeit a modest pickup in the demand for the British Pound kept a lid on any strong follow-through ahead of the post-meeting press conference, where comments by the ECB President Mario Draghi might infuse some fresh volatility and produce some meaningful trading opportunities. 

Technical levels to watch

EUR/GBP

Overview
Today last price0.8853
Today Daily Change0.0007
Today Daily Change %0.08
Today daily open0.8846
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8779
Daily SMA500.8677
Daily SMA1000.8673
Daily SMA2000.8785
Levels
Previous Daily High0.888
Previous Daily Low0.8841
Previous Weekly High0.8876
Previous Weekly Low0.879
Previous Monthly High0.8876
Previous Monthly Low0.8489
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8856
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8865
Daily Pivot Point S10.8831
Daily Pivot Point S20.8817
Daily Pivot Point S30.8793
Daily Pivot Point R10.887
Daily Pivot Point R20.8894
Daily Pivot Point R30.8908

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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