|

EUR/GBP drops swiftly as BoE to tighten policy further despite recession fears

  • EUR/GBP resumes its downside journey as BoE prepares for 14th consecutive interest-rate hike.
  • UK retail orders and factory activities are facing wrath due to higher cost pressures and an uncertain demand outlook.
  • The ECB raised interest rates by 25 bps to 4.25% and will remain data-dependent for the September policy.

The EUR/GBP pair falls back sharply after facing stiff barricades around 0.8590 in the European session. The asset faces significant offers as the Bank of England (BoE) is expected to continue its rate-hiking spell despite elongated fears of a recession in the United Kingdom.

UK’s authority shows concerns about deepening recession fears due to aggressive interest-rate hikes by the BoE. UK Treasury Advisers to Finance Minister Jeremy Hunt suggest slowing down the pace of hiking interest rates so that the economy could be defended from entering into a recession.

Investors should note that the BoE has already raised its interest rates to 5.0% and is preparing to raise straight for the 14th time. It is expected that the BoE will announce a 25 basis point (bp) interest rate hike on August 03 and will push interest rates to 5.25%.

The UK economy is under severe pressure as the housing sector has started faltering due to higher borrowing costs. Also, retail orders and factory activities are facing wrath due to higher cost pressures and an uncertain demand outlook.

Meanwhile, the Euro fails to outperform despite the European Central Bank (ECB) raising interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) to 4.25% on Thursday. ECB President Christine Lagarde was expected to deliver a hawkish stance as the job market has remained exceptionally strong in Eurozone.

The ECB is expected to remain data-dependent for its September policy, as commented by ECB Lagarde. On the economic data front, the German economy remained stagnant in the second quarter while investors were anticipating a nominal growth of 0.1% against a contraction of 0.3%, being recorded in the January-March quarter.

EUR/GBP

Overview
Today last price0.8557
Today Daily Change-0.0022
Today Daily Change %-0.26
Today daily open0.8579
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8582
Daily SMA500.8598
Daily SMA1000.869
Daily SMA2000.8727
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.86
Previous Daily Low0.8544
Previous Weekly High0.8701
Previous Weekly Low0.857
Previous Monthly High0.8658
Previous Monthly Low0.8518
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8578
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8565
Daily Pivot Point S10.8549
Daily Pivot Point S20.8519
Daily Pivot Point S30.8494
Daily Pivot Point R10.8604
Daily Pivot Point R20.863
Daily Pivot Point R30.866

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).