|

EUR/USD ticks higher amid subdued USD demand, remains below 1.0900 mark

  • EUR/USD attracts fresh buyers on Wednesday amid a modest USD downtick.
  • Fed rate cut bets keep the US bond yields depressed and undermine the buck.
  • Wednesday’s US data might provide some impetus ahead of the ECB on Thursday.

The EUR/USD pair builds on the overnight bounce from the 1.0860-1.0855 region and ticks higher during the Asian session on Wednesday amid subdued US Dollar (USD) price action. Spot prices currently trade just below the 1.0900 mark and remain well within the striking distance of the highest level since March 21 touched on Tuesday. 

The incoming softer US macro data pointed to signs of a cooling economy and cemented bets for an imminent interest rate cut by the  Federal Reserve (Fed) later this year. The expectations keep the US Treasury bond yields depressed and undermine the USD, which, in turn, is seen lending some support to the EUR/USD pair. The upside, however, seems limited as traders might prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the crucial European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy meeting on Thursday. 

As widely signalled in recent weeks by policymakers, the ECB is more likely to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at the end of its June 6 meeting. This will mark the first cut since March 2016 and will be accompanied by the latest economic projections. This, along with comments by ECB President Christine Lagarde will be scrutinized for cues about future rate cuts on the back of a rise in Eurozone inflation in May. This, in turn, will play a key role in driving the shared currency and the EUR/USD pair.

The market attention will then shift to the release of the closely-watched US monthly employment details, popularly known as the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday. The crucial US jobs data might influence expectations about the Fed's next policy move and the USD. Heading into the key central bank event and US macro data risks, Wednesday's US economic docket, featuring the ADP report and ISM Services PMI,  might produce short-term opportunities around the EUR/USD pair.

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0882
Today Daily Change0.0003
Today Daily Change %0.03
Today daily open1.0879
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0835
Daily SMA501.0775
Daily SMA1001.0808
Daily SMA2001.0788
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0916
Previous Daily Low1.0859
Previous Weekly High1.0889
Previous Weekly Low1.0788
Previous Monthly High1.0895
Previous Monthly Low1.065
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0881
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0894
Daily Pivot Point S11.0854
Daily Pivot Point S21.0828
Daily Pivot Point S31.0797
Daily Pivot Point R11.091
Daily Pivot Point R21.0942
Daily Pivot Point R31.0967

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD trims some losses, bounces back to 0.7150

AUD/USD has traded on the back foot on Monday, coming close to the 0.7100 mark before rebounding toward the 0.7150 region ahead of the opening bell in Asia. The Greenback’s solid performance has kept the risk complex under pressure, sending the Aussie to fresh monthly lows on the back of rising bets for a Fed rate hike this week. on Tuesday, investors are now expected to closely follow key data releases in China.


USD/JPY: Japanese Yen edges lower vs USD amid Middle East jitters as Fed, BoJ meetings loom

The USD/JPY pair attracts some buyers at the start of a new week and climbs closer to the 154.00 mark during the Asian session, reversing a part of Friday's losses. Spot prices, however, remain confined in a range held over the past week or so and within striking distance of a nearly seven-month low, touched last Tuesday, as traders await this week's key central bank events.


Gold retests $4,300; USD losses momentum

Gold picks up fresh upside traction and challenges the key $4,300 mark per troy ounce on Monday. The yellow metal, however, remain on the back foot on the back of marked gains in the US Dollar and rising US Treasury yields across the curve.

JasmyCoin: Upbit delisting raises risk of further losses

JasmyCoin shows signs of stability at the time of writing on Monday. However, the token remains constrained between support at $0.0035 and resistance at $0.0040. Since May, its technical structure has continued to deteriorate, with the price falling from highs of $0.0078. JASMY’s outlook suggests that bears have the upper hand as bulls fight to defend key support levels.

Will the Fed deliver the hawkishness markets are pricing in?

Fed hike bets increase after PPI and CPI reports. Updated dot plot to be crucial for the dollar’s reaction. Warsh’s independence faces test amid Trump’s pressure for lower rates. For the Dollar to extend gains, Fed needs to satisfy current hawkish bets.


Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.