Communist Party leaders have been meeting for four days to discuss the broad outlines of economic reform for the next five years. And the result is: not much. The communique released yesterday contains only the usual slogans of recent months and years, such as ‘reform and opening up,’ ‘supply-side reform,’ or newer phrases like ‘new productive forces’ and ‘high-quality growth’, Commerzbank’s FX analyst Volkmar Baur notes.

Third plenum says nothing unexpected

“But, a change in thinking or new approaches are nowhere to be found. Detailed documents on the decisions taken will be published in the next few days. But even there, one will probably look in vain for ideas on how to support and revive private consumption. In the first half of this year, the Chinese economy grew by 5%. But 0.7 percentage points of that growth came from foreign trade alone.”

“This means that domestic demand grew by only 4.3%. This persistently weak domestic demand by Chinese standards is also reflected in persistently low inflation and falling government bond yields – except for the 10-year segment, where the central bank has announced that it may intervene to correct the situation.”

“As long as the domestic economy remains weak, the interest rate differential between Chinese and US Treasuries will remain high and the Chinese Yuan (CNY) will remain under pressure. For now, the only bright spot for the CNY is the upcoming interest rate cycle in the US, which should provide some relief for the CNY.

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Trading Pro
Read review
Pepperstone
Read review
Trading Pro
Read review
Pepperstone
Read review
Trading Pro
Read review
Pepperstone
Read review
XM
Read review
Moneta Markets
Read review
XM
Read review
Moneta Markets
Read review

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD drifts lower toward 0.6300; looks to US NFP for fresh impetus

AUD/USD drifts lower toward 0.6300; looks to US NFP for fresh impetus

AUD/USD heads toward 0.6300 early Friday, resuming the pullback from near 0.6400. The pair remains on a slippery slope despite a weaker US Dollar. US-China trade tensions and increased odds of Trump's tariffs-led global recession undermine the risk-sensitive Aussie. All eyes on US NFP and Powell. 

AUD/USD News
USD/JPY holds recovery near 146.00; upside seems limited ahead of US NFP

USD/JPY holds recovery near 146.00; upside seems limited ahead of US NFP

USD/JPY trades close to 146.00, holding its recovery in the Asian session on Friday. Investors dial down bets of aggressive BoJ rate hikes, amid worries that Trump's new tariffs could negatively impact Japan's economy, helps the pair sustain its latest upswing. But buyers remain wary ahead of US NFP and Powell. 

USD/JPY News
Gold: Will Powell and Payrolls drive the next leg higher?

Gold: Will Powell and Payrolls drive the next leg higher?

Gold price is taking a breather early Friday after witnessing a volatile trading day on Thursday. Traders are consolidating the weekly gains, slightly away from the record high of $3,168, bracing for the US Nonfarm Payrolls report and US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech for a fresh directional impetus.  

Gold News
What to expect from Bitcoin and XRP following Trump tariffs: Experts weigh in

What to expect from Bitcoin and XRP following Trump tariffs: Experts weigh in

Bitcoin stretched its decline on Thursday, briefly dropping below $83,000 as President Trump's newly announced reciprocal tariffs extended the crypto market downturn by over 4%. The sustained decline and high volatility highlight Bitcoin's increasing risk to macroeconomic uncertainties. 

Read more
Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs on the way

Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs on the way

United States (US) President Donald Trump’s self-styled “Liberation Day” has finally arrived. After four straight failures to kick off Donald Trump’s “day one” tariffs that were supposed to be implemented when President Trump assumed office 72 days ago, Trump’s team is slated to finally unveil a sweeping, lopsided package of “reciprocal” tariffs. 

Read more
The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD

The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD

SPONSORED Discover the top brokers for trading EUR/USD in 2025. Our list features brokers with competitive spreads, fast execution, and powerful platforms. Whether you're a beginner or an expert, find the right partner to navigate the dynamic Forex market.

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures

Best Brokers of 2025