According to analysts from Danske Bank, UK PM, Theresa May, could still trigger the Article 50 before ‘end of March’ despite defeat in House of Lords yesterday.
Key Quotes:
“The UK government suffered a defeat in the House of Lords (358 voted in favour, 256 voted against), as the Lords voted for an amendment to the EU bill demanding proposals to protect the rights of EU citizens currently living in the UK. The EU bill, which needs to be approved by both houses, is now being sent back to the House of Commons, which will vote on the amendments on 13-14 March.”
“PM Theresa May has said that the UK will still trigger Article 50 before the ‘end of March’. The UK government is confident the House of Commons will vote down the amendment, as the Conservative Party and Labour together have a solid majority”
“The House of Lords is not expected to send it back to the House of Commons once more although theoretically it could do so. Although the UK government could simply just ask the House of Commons to vote for the amendments to get going with the Brexit process, the UK government is reluctant to do so, as the PM may does not want her hands tied before the negotiations with the EU.”
“In our view, it seems likely that the UK and the EU will quickly reach an agreement on this issue when the Brexit negotiations begin. The defeat means that PM Theresa May cannot trigger Article 50 at the EU summit in
Malta on 9-10 March but has to wait until 15 March at the earliest. She is not expected to wait until the end of the month, as it clashes with the celebration of the 60-year anniversary of the Rome treaty on 25 March. Thus, the defeat does not prevent a triggering of Article 50 but only postpones it by a few days.”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD clings to gains above 1.0750 after US data
EUR/USD manages to hold in positive territory above 1.0750 despite retreating from the fresh multi-week high it set above 1.0800 earlier in the day. The US Dollar struggles to find demand following the weaker-than-expected NFP data.
GBP/USD declines below 1.2550 following NFP-inspired upsurge
GBP/USD struggles to preserve its bullish momentum and trades below 1.2550 in the American session. Earlier in the day, the disappointing April jobs report from the US triggered a USD selloff and allowed the pair to reach multi-week highs above 1.2600.
Gold struggles to hold above $2,300 despite falling US yields
Gold stays on the back foot below $2,300 in the American session on Friday. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield stays in negative territory below 4.6% after weak US data but the improving risk mood doesn't allow XAU/USD to gain traction.
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Should you buy BTC here? Premium
Bitcoin (BTC) price shows signs of a potential reversal but lacks confirmation, which has divided the investor community into two – those who are buying the dips and those who are expecting a further correction.
Week ahead – BoE and RBA decisions headline a calm week
Bank of England meets on Thursday, unlikely to signal rate cuts. Reserve Bank of Australia could maintain a higher-for-longer stance. Elsewhere, Bank of Japan releases summary of opinions.