AUD/USD: Weaker around 0.7000 as USD recovers

Aussie ignores trade optimism as USD recovery outweighs.
China Caixin Manufacturing PMI misses estimates, with 51.5 in Dec.
AUD/USD sees a negative start to 2020 despite PBOC rate cut.

Dhwani Mehta FXStreet

Broad-based US dollar recovery remains the key theme starting out 2020, weighing negatively on most majors, including the AUD/USD pair, as it battles the 0.70 handle in early European trading.

2020 kicks off with the dollar recovering amid Chinese RRR cut, trade optimism

The major fails to benefit from the US-China phase one trade deal-led risk-on sentiment while the PBOC RRR cut to revive the Chinese economic growth and firmer copper prices also did little to help the AUD bulls. US President Trump said on the final day of 2019 that the US-China phase one trade deal will be signed on January 15th in Washington.

The pair risks further correction as the US dollar recovery is set to extend ahead of the US macro releases and light trading. Further, the technical set up also points to a deeper correction below 0.7000, as explained by Omkar Godbole, FXStreet’s Analyst.

Omkar noted: “The 4-hour chart is reporting a bearish divergence of the relative strength index and the MACD histogram. A bearish divergence occurs when an indicator prints lower highs, contradicting higher highs on price and represents bullish exhaustion. The Doji candle seen on the 4-hour chart is also signaling buyer exhaustion and validating the overbought or above-70 reading on the 14-day RSI.”

Meanwhile, downbeat Chinese Caixin Manufacturing PMI data also adds to the bearish bias seen around the Aussie. China's Caixin Manufacturing PMI eased to 51.5 in Dec vs. 51.7 expected.

AUD/USD Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price	0.6999
Today Daily Change	-0.0015
Today Daily Change %	-0.21
Today daily open	0.7014

Trends
Daily SMA20	0.6904
Daily SMA50	0.6862
Daily SMA100	0.6824
Daily SMA200	0.69

Levels
Previous Daily High	0.7043
Previous Daily Low	0.7004
Previous Weekly High	0.6987
Previous Weekly Low	0.6892
Previous Monthly High	0.7033
Previous Monthly Low	0.6762
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	0.7019
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	0.7028
Daily Pivot Point S1	0.6997
Daily Pivot Point S2	0.6981
Daily Pivot Point S3	0.6958
Daily Pivot Point R1	0.7036
Daily Pivot Point R2	0.7059
Daily Pivot Point R3	0.7075

Author

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

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