- AUD/USD consolidates above 0.6500 as the focus shifts to US inflation data.
- The Fed is expected to cut interest rates in May.
- The Australian Dollar will dance to the tunes of the Employment data.
The AUD/USD pair trades in a narrow range above the psychological support of 0.6500 in the early New York session. The Aussie asset struggles for a direction as investors await January’s United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for fresh guidance.
S&P500 futures display a subdued performance before the opening of US markets. The US Dollar Index (DXY) extends its recovery to 104.20 as investors are cautious ahead of US inflation data, which will be published on Tuesday.
According to the estimates, the headline inflation grew at a slower pace of 3.0% against 3.4% in December. In the same period, core inflation that excludes volatile food and oil prices decelerated slightly to 3.8% from 3.9%. The monthly headline and core inflation rose steadily by 0.2% and 0.3%, respectively.
The continuation of progress in the underlying inflation declining towards the 2% target will increase the odds of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed). As per the CME Fedwatch, the chances of a rate cut by 25 basis points (bps) in the March monetary policy meeting are small. While for the May meeting, traders see a 53% chance for a rate cut by 25 bps that will push key rates in the range of 5.00-5.25%.
On the Australia Dollar front, investors will focus on the Australian Employment data for January, which will be released on Thursday. Investors anticipate Australian employers hiring 30K workers against 65.1K lay-offs in December. The Unemployment Rate rose to 4% from 3.9% a month ago.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD stays in positive territory above 1.0850 after US data
EUR/USD clings to modest daily gains above 1.0850 in the second half of the day on Friday. The improving risk mood makes it difficult for the US Dollar to hold its ground after PCE inflation data, helping the pair edge higher ahead of the weekend.
GBP/USD stabilizes above 1.2850 as risk mood improves
GBP/USD maintains recovery momentum and fluctuates above 1.2850 in the American session on Friday. The positive shift seen in risk mood doesn't allow the US Dollar to preserve its strength and supports the pair.
Gold rebounds above $2,380 as US yields stretch lower
Following a quiet European session, Gold gathers bullish momentum and trades decisively higher on the day above $2,380. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield loses more than 1% on the day after US PCE inflation data, fuelling XAU/USD's upside.
Avalanche price sets for a rally following retest of key support level
Avalanche (AVAX) price bounced off the $26.34 support level to trade at $27.95 as of Friday. Growing on-chain development activity indicates a potential bullish move in the coming days.
The election, Trump's Dollar policy, and the future of the Yen
After an assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump and drop out of President Biden, Kamala Harris has been endorsed as the Democratic candidate to compete against Trump in the upcoming November US presidential election.