|

AUD/USD: Refreshes intraday high above 0.7750 as China, Japan brings mild risk-on mood on return

  • AUD/USD picks up bids while staying inside immediate trading range.
  • Market sentiment improves as China, Japan initially cheers receding fears of reflation.
  • Updates from G7 ministerial meeting, covid updates could join pre-US NFP mood to sour the mood.
  • RBA’s Debelle, US weekly jobless claims may offer intermediate direction.

AUD/USD reverses intraday losses into gains while picking up bids to 0.7757, up 0.12% on a day, amid early Thursday. The pair’s latest run-up from the day’s low could be traced to the return of traders from China and Japan after a long break since last Friday.

While the recently easing reflation woes might have offered a brighter welcome to Tokyo and Beijing, the Western ire over Chinese policies and the latest coronavirus (COVID-19) updates from Australia seem to test the bulls.

The ongoing Foreign Ministers’ meeting of the key Group of Seven (G7) nations criticize China’s role in global trade as well as its push for power in Taiwan and Hong Kong. On the other hand, Australia’s New South Wales (NSW) witnessed one more covid case and announced fresh restrictions, though not so strong.

Elsewhere, the Fed policymakers rejected fears that the latest inflation run-up may trigger monetary policy normalization. Also supporting the mood could be the mildly weak US data and downbeat Treasury yields.

Read: Hunt for yield to keep US dollar weak for at least three months – Reuters Poll

Amid these plays, S&P 500 Futures rise 0.10% while the US 10-year Treasury yields seesaw around 1.58% by the press time. Further, stocks in Japan are up but those from China await fresh clues.

Moving on, RBA Deputy Governor Guy Debelle’s speech around 09:00 AM will be the key as he will be speaking on the covid’s economic impact. Though, the pre-NFP mood may continue to hinder the pair’s performance ahead of Friday’s key US jobs report.

Technical analysis

Only if the AUD/USD prices drop below 50-day and 100-day SMA convergence around 0.7710, the bears are permitted. Alternatively, the 0.7820-0.7690 trading range can keep restricting short-term moves of the pair.

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7749
Today Daily Change1 pips
Today Daily Change %0.01%
Today daily open0.7748
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7724
Daily SMA500.7709
Daily SMA1000.7709
Daily SMA2000.7473
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7755
Previous Daily Low0.7704
Previous Weekly High0.7819
Previous Weekly Low0.7696
Previous Monthly High0.7819
Previous Monthly Low0.7531
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7735
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7723
Daily Pivot Point S10.7716
Daily Pivot Point S20.7684
Daily Pivot Point S30.7665
Daily Pivot Point R10.7768
Daily Pivot Point R20.7787
Daily Pivot Point R30.7819

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady near 1.1650 ahead of US data

EUR/USD stabilizes near 1.1650 on Friday after facing a rejection once again near seven-week highs. The pair, however, continues to draw support from persistent US Dollar weakness, despite a cautious market mood. Traders now await the US September PCE inflation and UoM Consumer Sentiment data. 

GBP/USD clings to gains in 1.3350 region, eyes on US data

GBP/USD sticks to a positive bias near 1.3350 in the second half of the day on Friday. Traders prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the key US inflation and sentiment data due later in the day. In the meantime, broad-based US Dollar weakness helps the pair stay afloat. 

Gold remains below $4,250 as traders await key US data

Gold gains some positive traction on Friday and trades in the upper half of its weekly range. Dovish Fed expectations continue to undermine the USD and lend support to the commodity. Bulls, however, might opt to wait for the US PCE Price Index before placing aggressive bets.

UoM Consumer Sentiment Index expected to post a mild recovery in December

December’s preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is forecast to have picked up to 52 from a three-year low of 51.0 in November. A stalled labour market and higher price pressures are likely to weigh on consumers’ confidence.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.