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AUD/USD pulls back from 200-DMA amid mixed trade/political headlines

  • AUD/USD looks for clear direction amid cautious optimism.
  • US President Trump’s trade-positive statements fail to defy broad political tension.
  • US data will be in focus for intermediate direction, holiday mood to limit market moves.

AUD/USD seesaws around 0.6900 after failing to cross 200-DMA during the week-start run-up. Phase-one optimism falls short of overcoming political pessimism concerning the US-China, US-North Korea and in the Middle East.

Aussie traders initially cheered US President Donald Trump’s comments saying, "We've just achieved a breakthrough on the trade deal and we will be signing it very shortly." However, the Republican leader’s signing of the Defense Authorization Bill pushed the Chinese President Xi Jinping to warn the US to stay out of their internal matters.

The pair might also have taken care of weaker than expected 0.3% print of November month Australian Private Sector Credit to 0.1%.

Risk sentiment also gets heavy as the New York Times came out with the news stating that the US military & intelligence officials are tracking North Korea's actions by the hour & bracing themselves for a major imminent missile test.

Furthermore, news from the Syrian State Television that Israel airstrikes target Iran-linked military base in Syria exerted additional downside pressure on the market’s risk tone.

With this, the US 10-year Treasury yields step back to 1.91% whereas S&P 500 Futures stay mostly unchanged at 3,227.

Although a lack of major data/events and a year-end trading lull may hinder market sentiment, the US Durable Goods Orders, Chicago Fed Manufacturing Activity Index and New Home Sales can offer intermediate moves to entertain traders on Monday.

Technical Analysis

Buyers look for a daily closing beyond 200-Day Simple Moving Average (DMA) level of 0.6905 to challenge the monthly top near 0.6940. Alternatively, a monthly trend line, at 0.6855, restricts near-term declines of the pair.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.6899
Today Daily Change-2 pips
Today Daily Change %-0.03%
Today daily open0.6901
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6838
Daily SMA500.6838
Daily SMA1000.6808
Daily SMA2000.6905
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6908
Previous Daily Low0.6882
Previous Weekly High0.6908
Previous Weekly Low0.6838
Previous Monthly High0.6929
Previous Monthly Low0.6754
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6898
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6892
Daily Pivot Point S10.6886
Daily Pivot Point S20.6871
Daily Pivot Point S30.686
Daily Pivot Point R10.6912
Daily Pivot Point R20.6923
Daily Pivot Point R30.6938

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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