|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Bullish momentum in play, bulls to buy the dip

  • The 61.8% golden ratio and the old resistance could be on the cards. This comes in just below 0.7150.
  • Below there, the daily support structure will instead be in focus near 0.7110. 

Ahead of the last key events for the pair this week, including Chinese inflation data today and US Consumer Price Index on Friday, AUD/USD is correcting the recent bullish rally and buyers are n the prowl for an optimum entry point. 

The following illustrates the daily and hourly perspective which leans with a bullish bias for the sessions and days ahead. 

AUD/USD daily chart

The price has rallied to resistance and would be expected to correct at this juncture. The rally has consisted of three bullish daily candles (''Three White Soldiers'') that suggest a strong change in market sentiment.

With that being said, a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 0.7111 is not out of the question, but the hourly conditions suggest a shallower correction to prior resistance could be on the cards. Bulls will start to look to engage on signs of stabilisation and demand coming in for a continuation opportunity. 

AUD/USD H1 chart

The price is correcting to a 38.2% Fibo near 0.7160. The market could easily flip higher from here, although a deeper test to the 61.8% golden ratio and the old resistance could be on the cards. This comes in just below 0.7150 and will have a confluence with the 21-EMA.

Bulls will be looking for bullish conditions and structure from where to engage with the potential fresh bullish impulse. If there are no bullish tendencies with the price extending lower, then the daily support structure will instead be in focus near 0.7110. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD seems vulnerable near 0.6800, 10-month low amid bullish USD

AUD/USD languishes near a 10-month low during the Asian session on Friday, awaiting a break below 0.6800 before the next leg up amid a bullish US Dollar. Firming Fed rate-hike expectations, along with fading hopes for US-Iran diplomacy, help the USD hold gains at its highest level since April 2025. Moreover, the RBA’s dovish tilt undermines the Aussie and backs the case for further losses.

USD/JPY bulls turn cautious near 160.00 amid intervention risks

USD/JPY enters a bullish consolidation phase around its highest level since early September as bulls turn cautious amid intervention risk near 160.00. Meanwhile, the downside seems cushioned as the wide US-Japan interest rate gap keeps the Yen carry trade active. Furthermore, the possibility of a jumbo Fed rate hike and Middle East uncertainties hold the US Dollar near a 19-month top, supporting the currency pair.



Gold finds temporary floor near $3,850, downside risks persist

Gold rises almost 0.9% to near $3,915 in the early trade on Friday after posting a fresh 13-month low near $3,850 the previous day. The recovery move in the Gold price after a massive decline in the past few days started Tuesday appears to be short-lived as several headwinds are boosting bears to keep up the dominance.

Bitcoin slips below $70,000 for the first time since August

Bitcoin is attracting some serious sellers, pushing it below $70,000 on Friday after an over 3% decline the previous day. The Crypto King is down over 5% so far this week, and a bearish close could mark its sixth consecutive week of losses. The technical outlook for Bitcoin is bearish, with sellers tightening their grip despite overextending the downtrend to oversold levels.

Asian stocks post mixed results amid Nvidia leadership turmoil, Anthropic IPO buzz
Asian stocks post mixed results on Friday, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 Index climbing 0.91% to around 61,370 and China’s Shanghai Composite rising 0.22% to 3,660. Conversely, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index fell 0.82% to 23,810, while South Korea’s KOSPI declined 0.49% to near 5,320.
What the US CPI headline doesn’t tell you about inflation

Brent crude has fallen about a third since mid-October on hopes the Iran war is ending, but diesel, freight and fertiliser costs haven't followed. Those costs reach US consumer prices in stages through 2027 and could keep inflation high after gasoline gets cheaper.