|

AUD/USD bears attack 0.6600 amid risk aversion, Fed Minutes, US debt ceiling eyed

  • AUD/USD holds lower grounds at weekly bottom after posting the biggest daily loss in a week.
  • Risk appetite weakens after chatters that US Treasury requested agencies to delay payment while policymakers appear less optimistic of late.
  • Fed Minutes, US default talks will be the key catalysts to watch for clear directions.

AUD/USD remains pressured around 0.6600 as market sentiment worsens on early Wednesday in Asia, amid fears of the US default, as well as hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) concerns ahead of the Fed Minutes. Also challenging the Aussie pair is the mixed prints of Aussie data versus comparatively stronger US PMIs. However, hopes that the US policymakers will be able to avoid US default seem to put a floor under the Aussie pair prices.

Recently, US House Speaker Kevin McCarthy crossed wires, via Reuters, while suggesting no deal on the debt ceiling extension today but before June 01. Previously, Washington rolled out news stating the US Treasury has asked multiple agencies if they can delay the payment demands.

Elsewhere, the preliminary figures of the May monthly PMIs suggest that the US Services sector keeps outgrowing the manufacturing ones and fuelled the Composite PMI figure to the highest levels in a year. On the contrary, the Aussie activity numbers for the said month were less impressive.  The same joins the latest divergence in the market’s bets on the Federal Reserve (Fed) versus the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to exert downside pressure on the AUD/USD prices.

Apart from the US default fears and Fed concerns, the US-China tussles are also luring the Aussie pair bears, due to the Australia-China ties. Recently, Russia flaunts its ties with Beijing and that strengthens the global dislike for the dragon nation. Additionally, the US-China trade tussle continues, becoming an additional reason supporting the risk-off mood.

Amid these plays, Wall Street closed in the red and helped the US Dollar despite downbeat yields.

Moving on, there are no major data/events from Australia but the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s (RBNZ) Monetary Policy Meeting and risk catalysts can entertain the risk-barometer pair during the early part of the day. Following that, the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes will be crucial to watch.

Technical analysis

A daily closing below one-month-old previous support, now resistance around 0.6625, directs AUD/USD towards the yearly low of around 0.6575.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.661
Today Daily Change-0.0042
Today Daily Change %-0.63%
Today daily open0.6652
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6675
Daily SMA500.6687
Daily SMA1000.6784
Daily SMA2000.6712
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6668
Previous Daily Low0.6627
Previous Weekly High0.671
Previous Weekly Low0.6605
Previous Monthly High0.6806
Previous Monthly Low0.6574
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6652
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6643
Daily Pivot Point S10.663
Daily Pivot Point S20.6609
Daily Pivot Point S30.659
Daily Pivot Point R10.6671
Daily Pivot Point R20.6689
Daily Pivot Point R30.6711

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD faces daily resistance near 1.3650

GBP/USD resumes its decline, reversing Tuesday’s bullish attempt and failing once again to break above 1.3650. Cable’s decent pullback follows an acceptable advance in the Greenback as investors continue to assess latest US PCE and GDP data.

EUR/USD remains sidelined around 1.1670 post US-PCE

EUR/USD alternates gains with losses around 1.1670 on Wednesday. The pair’s retracement comes on the back of modest gains in the US Dollar in the wake of the release of July PCE data and another revision of Q2 GDP figures.

Gold surrenders some weekly gains; back toward $4,600

Gold now faces some renewed downside pressure and seems to challenge the key $4,600 mark per troy ounce on Tuesday. That said, the yellow metal’s correction comes after three daily upticks in a row, fading at the same time Tuesday’s move to fresh tops around $4,700.

Bitcoin recovery stalls near $80,000 as ETF inflows mount, whale demand strengthens

Bitcoin price is trading in the green on Wednesday, holding above $78,000 while struggling to extend its recovery above the $80,000 mark. Institutional demand is strengthening, with steady inflows and BlackRock’s tax-deferred Bitcoin-to-ETF swap volume reaching $5 billion.

Nvidia: How will the company perform as its switches from a chip maker to an AI finance house?

The main event for markets this week takes place this evening, after US markets close. Nvidia, the AI giant, will report results for last quarter. Another monster report is expected. Revenues could come in above $92bn, and earnings per share could come in at $2.09.

Canada hits US goods with tariffs; The rate market sees a problem
On September 8, Canada begins charging its own importers 15%, 25% and 50% on roughly 700 lines of American goods. The measure is billed as dollar for dollar, and on the arithmetic of covered trade it is. What it is not is a tax on the United States.