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AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Tests 100.50, nine-day EMA amid potential momentum shift

  • AUD/JPY may appreciate as daily chart analysis indicates a potential shift in price momentum from bearish to bullish.
  • A bullish reversal could be possible if the nine-day EMA breaks above the 14-day EMA.
  • A break above nine- and 14-day EMAs could cause the emergence of a bullish bias.

The AUD/JPY cross remains relatively flat around 100.50 during the Asian trading session on Tuesday, following a nearly 1% gain in the previous session. An analysis of the daily chart suggests a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish as the pair seeks to break above the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA).

Additionally, the nine-day EMA is currently just below the 14-day EMA. An upward crossover would signal a shift in the short-term price momentum from bearish to bullish, as it indicates that recent prices are gaining strength and pushing higher compared to the longer-term trend.

Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at the 50 level, signaling a neutral market condition. Any further movement in the AUD/JPY cross will likely determine the next clear directional trend.

To the upside, the AUD/JPY cross is testing immediate resistance at the nine-day EMA around the 100.58 level, followed by the 100.61 level. A break above these levels could trigger a bullish bias, potentially pushing the currency cross toward the four-month high of 102.41, reached on November 7.

On the downside, the primary support for the AUD/JPY cross is located around the recent low of 99.42. A break below this level would strengthen the bearish outlook and could drive the cross toward the psychological support level of 99.00.

AUD/JPY: Daily Chart

Australian Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Australian Dollar (AUD) against listed major currencies today. Australian Dollar was the weakest against the Japanese Yen.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD 0.07%0.05%-0.09%0.06%0.04%0.12%0.05%
EUR-0.07% -0.02%-0.13%-0.01%-0.03%0.06%-0.02%
GBP-0.05%0.02% -0.10%0.01%-0.01%0.08%0.00%
JPY0.09%0.13%0.10% 0.15%0.12%0.20%0.14%
CAD-0.06%0.00%-0.01%-0.15% -0.02%0.06%-0.02%
AUD-0.04%0.03%0.01%-0.12%0.02% 0.09%0.03%
NZD-0.12%-0.06%-0.08%-0.20%-0.06%-0.09% -0.07%
CHF-0.05%0.02%-0.01%-0.14%0.02%-0.03%0.07% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Australian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent AUD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

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