|

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Bulls getting prepared for a 1:3 R/R swing

Developing story

AUD/JPY has formed a support structure on both the monthly and daily time frames that open the prospects for a high probability continuation trade.

Swing traders will monitor for entry on the lower time frames, such as the 4-hour chart, looking to a high probability setup with favourable risk to reward.

The following is a top-down analysis of how the trade setup could evolve.

Monthly chart

The monthly chart shows that the price us in a strong uptrend having broken above the prior resistance now turned support and holds above the 21 EMA with bullish technical readings on RSI and MACD.

Daily chart

The price has given the market a sufficient retracement to the support structure for bulls to start monitoring for a long swing trading opportunity.

4HR chart

The price is not ready for trading until it gets above the 21 EMA on the 4HR and current resistance that will turn support on a retest for a 1:3 risk to reward ratio and high probability setup.

This is a developing story and price action will be monitored from a 4HR perspective IF the price can break higher from here. If not, then the trade setup is invalidated.

Price action update

There was no 4HR bid and the pair can be moved down on the watchlist while it still holds a major support structure.

Watching daily support for possible bullish conditions

Update: Meanwhile day trade opportunity arose

Should bullish conditions develop again, the short side will be a loss and we will be back to the drawing board, monitoring again for the bullish swing trading entry-point.

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD onsolidates around mid-1.1800s as traders keenly await FOMC Minutes

The EUR/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the previous day's goodish rebound from the 1.1800 neighborhood, or a one-and-a-half-week low, and consolidates in a narrow band during the Asian session on Wednesday. Spot prices currently trade just below mid-1.1800s, nearly unchanged for the day.

GBP/USD bounces off lows, retargets 1.3550

After bottoming out just below the 1.3500 yardstick, GBP/USD now gathers some fresh bids and advances to the 1.3530-1.3540 band in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Cable’s recovery comes as the Greenback surrenders part of its advance, although it keeps the bullish bias well in place for the day.

Gold bounces back toward $4,900, looks to FOMC Minutes

Gold is attempting a bounce from the $4,850 level, having touched a one-week low on Tuesday. Signs of progress in US–Iran talks dented demand for the traditional safe-haven bullion, weighing on Gold in early trades. However, rising bets for more Fed rate cuts keep the US Dollar bulls on the defensive and act as a tailwind for the non-yielding yellow metal. Traders now seem reluctant ahead of the FOMC Minutes, which would offer cues about the Fed's rate-cut path and provide some meaningful impetus.

DeFi could lift crypto market from current bear phase: Bitwise

Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan hinted that the decentralized finance sector could lead the crypto market out of the current bear phase, citing Aave Labs’ latest community proposal as a potential signal of good things to come.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Ripple slides to $1.45 as downside risks surge

Ripple edges lower at the time of writing on Tuesday, from the daily open of $1.48, as headwinds persist across the crypto market. A short-term support is emerging at $1.45, but a buildup of bearish positions could further weaken the derivatives market and prolong the correction.