Share:
  • Duration:

Summary

Charles Dow postulates assume that a price of a trading instrument reflects all fundamental data instantly. However market efficiency may be preserved partially due to inertial properties. In this case a trader has to take into account related markets when opening a position: network effect arises. Below we represent a plain FX H4 trading system based on two currency indexes and classic ParabolicSAR indicator. After indexes are incorporated in a single platform a trader obtains an opportunity to analyze EUR/USD currency pair, EURi and vs USDi simultaneously at one screen and one time frame. A conservative trading idea is simple: EUR/USD long (short) position should be opened if EURi and vsUSDi give bullish (bearish) signals simultaneously. If inconsistency occurs and signals of two indexes differ then the opened position should be closed immediately. This strong signal shows us inefficient market stages when all players move as a whole. Our hypothesis is that this property may be used for effective trend following.
Share:

Follow us on Telegram

Stay updated of all the news

Join Telegram

Latest Live Videos


Follow us on Telegram

Stay updated of all the news

Join Telegram

Latest Live Videos

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD: Yes, the US economy is resilient – No, that won’t save the US Dollar

EUR/USD: Yes, the US economy is resilient – No, that won’t save the US Dollar Premium

Some impressive US data should have resulted in a much stronger USD. Well, it didn’t happen. The EUR/USD pair closed a third consecutive week little changed, a handful of pips above the 1.1800 mark. 

Gold: Metals remain vulnerable to broad market mood

Gold: Metals remain vulnerable to broad market mood Premium

Gold (XAU/USD) started the week on a bullish note and climbed above $5,000 before declining sharply and erasing its weekly gains on Thursday, only to recover heading into the weekend. 

GBP/USD: Pound Sterling remains below 1.3700 ahead of UK inflation test

GBP/USD: Pound Sterling remains below 1.3700 ahead of UK inflation test Premium

The Pound Sterling (GBP) failed to resist at higher levels against the US Dollar (USD), but buyers held their ground amid a US data-busy blockbuster week.

Bitcoin: BTC bears aren’t done yet

Bitcoin: BTC bears aren’t done yet

Bitcoin (BTC) price slips below $67,000 at the time of writing on Friday, remaining under pressure and extending losses of nearly 5% so far this week.

US Dollar: Big in Japan

US Dollar: Big in Japan Premium

The US Dollar (USD) resumed its yearly downtrend this week, slipping back to two-week troughs just to bounce back a tad in the second half of the week.

Week ahead: Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

Week ahead: Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures