|

Why Polkadot price needs to crash more before triggering an explosive rally

  • Polkadot price shattered the $15.97 support level and crashed 11%.
  • DOT is likely to slide another 12% before retesting the $10.37 to $12.93 demand zone.
  • A daily candlestick close below $10.37 will invalidate the bullish thesis.

Polkadot price is in a tough spot after breaching a significant support level. This development is likely to trigger a further descent before finding a stable support floor. Here, DOT bulls are likely to make a comeback and trigger a new run-up.

Polkadot price needs to go lower

Polkadot price formed a double top at roughly $23.27 on February 6 and April 1. Since the second local top, DOT has crashed 40%, flipped the $15.97 support level into a resistance barrier and is currently hovering around $14.89. 

As Polkadot price hovers in no man’s land, there is a good chance this downtrend will continue. The three-day demand zone, extending from $10.37 to $12.93 is a major support area where DOT buyers are going to make a comeback.

Any premature run-ups are likely going to face rejection at the $15.97 hurdle.

Therefore, a downswing of at least 12% is likely in the coming days for Polkadot price, which will retest the said demand zone. In some cases, the sellers might push DOT deeper into the support area before exhausting.

The resulting rally needs to breach the $15.97 and flip it into a support level before triggering a larger move to the $23.27 hurdle. In total, Polkadot price is preparing for a potential gain of 78%, but such a move will only occur after the anticipated 12% drop.

DOT/USDT 1-day chart 

DOT/USDT 1-day chart 

While things are looking up for Polkadot price, a daily candlestick close below the demand zone’s lower limit at $10.37 will invalidate the bullish thesis by producing a lower low. Under these conditions, investors can expect DOT to revisit the $8.31 support level.

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Editor's Picks

XRP holds bearish bias despite spot ETF inflows
Ripple (XRP) retains a bearish near-term tone on Friday, falling toward the psychological support at $1.00. This follows renewed inflation concerns in the United States (US) after the Federal Reserve (Fed) left interest rates unchanged, as two members of the committee dissented in favor of a 25 basis point hike.
Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP edge lower despite renewed ETF inflows
The cryptocurrency market broadly corrects on Friday, as investors assess macro uncertainty and geopolitical tensions, which continue to escalate in the Middle East. Bitcoin (BTC) is trading below $64,000, down from the weekly high of $65,745. Altcoins such as Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) are trading under increasing selling pressure below $1,900 and $1.10, respectively.
US sanctions Iran-linked Bitcoin insurance scheme for Strait of Hormuz ships
The U.S. Treasury has sanctioned two Iranian firms behind a maritime insurance operation that accepted Bitcoin, saying the scheme forced commercial vessels to buy coverage to pass through the Strait of Hormuz and funnelled the proceeds to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Bulls hold the line
Bitcoin (BTC) edges slightly lower, trading at $64,300 at the time of writing on Friday but holding firmly above a key support zone. US-listed spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) support BTC as they continued to attract institutional flows through Thursday, pointing to the fourth consecutive week of net inflows.
Bitcoin: Bulls hold the line
Bitcoin (BTC) edges slightly lower, trading at $64,300 at the time of writing on Friday but holding firmly above a key support zone. US-listed spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) support BTC as they continued to attract institutional flows through Thursday, pointing to the fourth consecutive week of net inflows.