|

What will happen to Terra’s LUNA 2.0 price after claims that Terraform Labs was behind UST collapse

  • Analysts have investigated the Terra LUNA crash from May 2022 and suspect it could be an inside job. 
  • The US SEC and South Korean watchdogs continue their investigations as a firm discovers a wallet that is implicated in UST de-pegging. 
  • LUNA 2.0 price struggles to recover; analysts expect Terra’s new chain token to make a comeback. 

As financial watchdogs launched an investigation into the collapse of Terraform Lab’s sister tokens, LUNC(previously LUNA) and UST, new findings implicate the firm, implying the de-peg was an inside job. A wallet associated with the de-peg of TerraUSD likely belongs to Terraform Labs. 

Terra LUNA crash, an inside job?

Following the colossal crash of LUNC(previously LUNA) and UST, regulators and financial watchdogs have launched an investigation of Terraform Labs, and co-founder Do Kwon. The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and South Korean authorities have pursued their investigation, and new findings could aid the process. 

An investigation by Uppsala Security, Decentralized Solutions for Cyberspace Security Technology, revealed that Terraform Labs managed the wallet behind the attack. 

A wallet associated with the de-pegging of algorithmic stablecoin UST has been identified and labeled as “Wallet A.” The firm suspects that said wallet has a link to Terraform Labs, and that the wipeout of nearly $40 billion in market value after the LUNA-UST collapse was an inside job. 

The firm revealed that one address implicated in the initial run-up to UST decline and considered responsible for de-pegging was owned or controlled by Terraform Labs (TFL) or the Luna Foundation Guard (LFG), or related parties. 

Further, the investigation revealed accounts that were linked to the incident, some addresses on Binance and Coinbase that transferred TerraUSD (UST), USDC, and USDT between each other.

Uppsala Security traced the flow of funds from UST to MIM and MIM to USDT. Starting November 2021, wallets controlled by Terraform Labs swapped billions of dollars worth of UST into MIM and eventually into USDT. 

The cyberspace security tech firm studied how funds were transferred to exchange accounts, some of which were controlled or owned by Terraform Labs founders and the firm. The firm is yet to identify the final details concerning the use of the funds within the exchanges or crypto trading firms; they have identified potential leads for further investigation. 

The following were identified as wallets of interest:

  • Wallet A: 0x8d47f08ebc5554504742f547eb721a43d4947d0a
  • Wallet A(T): terra1yl8l5dzz4jhnzzh6jxq6pdezd2z4qgmgrdt82k
  • Binance user account Memo: 104721486 (terra1ncjg4a59x2pgvqy9qjyqprlj8lrwshm0wleht5)
  • Binance user account Memo: 100055002 (terra1ncjg4a59x2pgvqy9qjyqprlj8lrwshm0wleht5)
  • Depositors: 
    • terra13s4gwzxv6dycfctvddfuy6r3zm7d6zklynzzj5 (LUNC DAO)
    • terra1t0an4m6t47rp3mj57rdfzw6dpd3lw8erxjppgw
  • Interchange Wallet A: 0xa046a8660e66d178ee07ec97c585eeb6aa18c26c
  • Exchange Wallet A: 0x21ec2dbb3bfd2210a84bbc924466a70becddd572

Uppsala is examining the actions taken by these wallets until the day of the Terra LUNA crash and the connection between these addresses through on-chain data. 

LUNA 2.0 price could make a comeback soon

Analysts at FXStreet have evaluated the LUNA 2.0 price trend and predicted a comeback in the token’s price. Analysts identified a key level to watch before LUNA witnesses a bullish breakout. If LUNA 2.0 price hits $3.5, it will confirm a bullish breakout and an uptrend in the token of the new Terra chain. For more information, watch this video:

Author

Ekta Mourya

Ekta Mourya

FXStreet

Ekta Mourya has extensive experience in fundamental and on-chain analysis, particularly focused on impact of macroeconomics and central bank policies on cryptocurrencies.

More from Ekta Mourya
Share:

Editor's Picks

Hyperliquid Price Forecast: HYPE rises on commodities demand amid US-Iran war

Hyperliquid (HYPE) steadies above $33 at press time on Tuesday, marking its fourth consecutive day of recovery in a broadly volatile market due to the ongoing US-Israel strikes on Iran.

Stellar Price Forecast: XLM risks deeper losses as derivatives metrics turn negative

Stellar is trading red below $0.16 at the time of writing, after a slight recovery the previous day. Weakening derivatives data caps the recovery, while an unfavorable technical outlook projects a deeper correction for the XLM token in the upcoming days.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE tests channel resistance as ParaFi Capital deposit, bearish derivatives data caps upside

Aave (AAVE) trades around $120 on Tuesday, testing the channel resistance, signaling that sellers remain active in the zone. Lookonchain data shows that ParaFi Capital transferred 42,000 AAVE tokens to Coinbase Prime over the past 10 hours, often interpreted as a potential selling signal.

CME Group's futures suite now covers over 75% of total crypto market cap

CME Group announced that its crypto futures offering now covers over 75% of the total digital asset market cap, following the launch of its Cardano (ADA), Chainlink (LINK) and Stellar (XLM) products.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Bitcoin: Another month of losses, and it’s been five

Bitcoin (BTC) price is stabilizing around $68,000 at the time of writing on Friday, but the Crypto King is poised to close February on a fragile footing, marking its fifth consecutive month of losses since October and a rare start to the year with back-to-back monthly corrections.