|

What will happen to Terra’s LUNA 2.0 price after claims that Terraform Labs was behind UST collapse

  • Analysts have investigated the Terra LUNA crash from May 2022 and suspect it could be an inside job. 
  • The US SEC and South Korean watchdogs continue their investigations as a firm discovers a wallet that is implicated in UST de-pegging. 
  • LUNA 2.0 price struggles to recover; analysts expect Terra’s new chain token to make a comeback. 

As financial watchdogs launched an investigation into the collapse of Terraform Lab’s sister tokens, LUNC(previously LUNA) and UST, new findings implicate the firm, implying the de-peg was an inside job. A wallet associated with the de-peg of TerraUSD likely belongs to Terraform Labs. 

Terra LUNA crash, an inside job?

Following the colossal crash of LUNC(previously LUNA) and UST, regulators and financial watchdogs have launched an investigation of Terraform Labs, and co-founder Do Kwon. The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and South Korean authorities have pursued their investigation, and new findings could aid the process. 

An investigation by Uppsala Security, Decentralized Solutions for Cyberspace Security Technology, revealed that Terraform Labs managed the wallet behind the attack. 

A wallet associated with the de-pegging of algorithmic stablecoin UST has been identified and labeled as “Wallet A.” The firm suspects that said wallet has a link to Terraform Labs, and that the wipeout of nearly $40 billion in market value after the LUNA-UST collapse was an inside job. 

The firm revealed that one address implicated in the initial run-up to UST decline and considered responsible for de-pegging was owned or controlled by Terraform Labs (TFL) or the Luna Foundation Guard (LFG), or related parties. 

Further, the investigation revealed accounts that were linked to the incident, some addresses on Binance and Coinbase that transferred TerraUSD (UST), USDC, and USDT between each other.

Uppsala Security traced the flow of funds from UST to MIM and MIM to USDT. Starting November 2021, wallets controlled by Terraform Labs swapped billions of dollars worth of UST into MIM and eventually into USDT. 

The cyberspace security tech firm studied how funds were transferred to exchange accounts, some of which were controlled or owned by Terraform Labs founders and the firm. The firm is yet to identify the final details concerning the use of the funds within the exchanges or crypto trading firms; they have identified potential leads for further investigation. 

The following were identified as wallets of interest:

  • Wallet A: 0x8d47f08ebc5554504742f547eb721a43d4947d0a
  • Wallet A(T): terra1yl8l5dzz4jhnzzh6jxq6pdezd2z4qgmgrdt82k
  • Binance user account Memo: 104721486 (terra1ncjg4a59x2pgvqy9qjyqprlj8lrwshm0wleht5)
  • Binance user account Memo: 100055002 (terra1ncjg4a59x2pgvqy9qjyqprlj8lrwshm0wleht5)
  • Depositors: 
    • terra13s4gwzxv6dycfctvddfuy6r3zm7d6zklynzzj5 (LUNC DAO)
    • terra1t0an4m6t47rp3mj57rdfzw6dpd3lw8erxjppgw
  • Interchange Wallet A: 0xa046a8660e66d178ee07ec97c585eeb6aa18c26c
  • Exchange Wallet A: 0x21ec2dbb3bfd2210a84bbc924466a70becddd572

Uppsala is examining the actions taken by these wallets until the day of the Terra LUNA crash and the connection between these addresses through on-chain data. 

LUNA 2.0 price could make a comeback soon

Analysts at FXStreet have evaluated the LUNA 2.0 price trend and predicted a comeback in the token’s price. Analysts identified a key level to watch before LUNA witnesses a bullish breakout. If LUNA 2.0 price hits $3.5, it will confirm a bullish breakout and an uptrend in the token of the new Terra chain. For more information, watch this video:

Author

Ekta Mourya

Ekta Mourya

FXStreet

Ekta Mourya has extensive experience in fundamental and on-chain analysis, particularly focused on impact of macroeconomics and central bank policies on cryptocurrencies.

More from Ekta Mourya
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Dogecoin ticks lower as low Open Interest, funding rate weigh on buyers

Dogecoin extends its decline as risk-off sentiment dominates across the crypto market. DOGE’s derivatives market remains weak amid suppressed futures Open Interest and perpetual funding rate.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP decline as risk-off sentiment escalates

Bitcoin remains under pressure, trading above the $87,000 support at the time of writing on Tuesday. Selling pressure has continued to weigh on the broader cryptocurrency market since Monday, triggering declines across altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple.

Chainlink risks further losses in early 2026 despite the ecosystem growth

Chainlink (LINK) is down 2% at press time on Tuesday, adding to a nearly 5% decline in December so far. The oracle token risks a negative close for the fourth straight month, potentially signaling a bearish start to 2026. 

Bitcoin retreats as $90,000 rejection, ETF outflows weigh on sentiment

Bitcoin continues to trade lower on Tuesday after failing to break the key $90,000 resistance level the previous day. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $142.90 on Monday, while Strategy Inc. boosts its cash reserves to $2.19 billion.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.