The price of Bitcoin (BTC) is attempting to break the $60,000 resistance level after more than a week of ranging.
Whale clusters show that $57,046 and $60,045 are the crucial support and resistance areas in the short term.
In other words, the probability of a strong breakout in the foreseeable future would increase substantially if Bitcoin stays above $57,046 and continues to test $60,000 resistance.
Why whale clusters are important for Bitcoin
Whale clusters form when high-net-worth investors buy or sell Bitcoin at a certain price and do not move their holdings thereafter.
As such, a whale cluster support typically serves as a strong macro support area for Bitcoin because whales tend to buy more when BTC falls to a level where they initially bought BTC.
On the flip side, a whale cluster resistance area would likely hold up as a sell area because whales are more likely to wait until their breakeven price to sell their positions.
According to researchers at Whalemap, the two key resistance levels for Bitcoin in the near term are $60,045 and $61,062. On Wednesday, the researchers noted:
“$BTC is back. Bouncing perfectly from whale supports so far. This is a good sign: in bear trends, whale resistances work better than supports and vice versa for bull trends. Whale supports are back to business now which means the trend has shifted. April should be quite fun.”
Bitcoin whale clusters. Source: Whalemap
Since then, the price of Bitcoin has been ranging and consolidating between the resistance level and the $57,000 support.
Based on this trend, the researchers added that this could be the calm before the storm, anticipating a spike in Bitcoin’s volatility, which is currently at the lowest levels since November 2020. They wrote:
“The support resistance battle is intense. Levels from last week are working pretty well. Bitcoin is being capped by the $60,045 level pretty spot on. Is this the calm before the storm?”
Traders’ sentiment about Bitcoin is mixed
According to the pseudonymous trader known as Byzantine General, the Bitcoin futures market is becoming extremely overheated.
The derivatives market is surging while the BTC futures funding rate is consistently spiking above 0.12%.
On average, the default futures funding rate of Bitcoin is 0.01%, so the market is overheated by around 12-fold. The trader said:
“This looks pretty bad tbh. A good flush would be a blessing.”
Bitcoin price chart with futures funding rate and volume. Source: TradingView.com, Byzantine General
A trader known as NekoZ stated that the technical market structure of Bitcoin on the 4-hour chart indicates that BTC could consolidate longer, but he is not bearish in the near term.
The trader said
“BTC - H4. I see no reason to be bearish on bitcoin. 2 points I am adding to my long. As long as we keep showing higher lows, 0 reason to be worried.”
Traders generally echo the sentiment that Bitcoin could see a minor pullback to reset from the overheating derivatives market, but the macro technical structure remains optimistic.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
XRP ruling by Judge Torres denied in Coinbase lawsuit, yet another blow to Ripple
XRP programmatic sales ruling by Judge Torres completely rejected by US Court in Coinbase lawsuit. US Court rejected Coinbase’ motion to dismiss SEC lawsuit, weighing heavily on Ripple’s legal battle.
Sushi price eyes $3 after clearing key weekly resistance level
Sushi price flips the $1.628 resistance level into a support floor after a month of struggle. A temporary retracement might be a good opportunity to accumulate SUSHI before a retest of $3. A breakdown of the $1.267 barrier would invalidate the bullish thesis.
Bitcoin Price Outlook: Will $150 billion bank Morgan Stanley send BTC to new ATH?
Bitcoin has recorded increased volatility this week, with most of BTC holders currently in profit. As market activity continues to grow with long-term holders now ramping up on distribution pressure, the pioneer crypto is bearing the brunt of growing overhead pressure.
Coinbase loses first round of battle against SEC
A day after the SEC filed a lawsuit against Binance last year, it went after Coinbase in a sign that the clampdown is extending to key players in the industry. The latest development in the matter is that the court has ruled in favor of the financial regulator, which means the case will continue.
Bitcoin: BTC may have recovered, but is it out of the woods?
Bitcoin’s (BTC) upward momentum has shown a significant decline for the past two weeks or so. This development led to a bearish signal on the weekly and an uncertain outlook on the monthly.