|

Polkadot is treading water and is about to sink another 10%

  • Polkadot price slides lower and says goodbye to vital support.
  • DOT to trend lower as support is too far off for now.
  • Expect DOT to head toward $5.30.

Polkadot (DOT) price is a bit of an outlier this Wednesday, while several other crypto and altcoins are showing a small turnaround with a bullish undertone. DOT is not showing any of that after bears breached the dams and flooded the area around $5.75. Price action quickly sank lower and is heading toward $5.30 with no real support to be found along the way.

Polkadot price is at risk of performing either a dead-cat bounce or receiving a topside rejection

Polkadot bulls have let DOT price action rotate too loosely of late with the result that DOT has sunk below $5.75. Meanwhile, in early Wednesday trading, bulls have been trying to pare back losses, and that is opening up their performance for another nudge lower. Bulls already briefly pushed the price back up above $5.75 before it then slipped back lower and showed signs of either being a dead-cat bounce or bulls having received a firm rejection on that same topside level at $5.75.

DOT will sink lower from here and has no real handles or circuit breakers nearby that could trigger a turnaround. Bears have an open road to head toward $5.30 and add another 10% to their short-selling trade. Even the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has room to go lower, so bulls will have to ride this one out and wait for $5.30 before attempting to trigger a turnaround

DOT/USD  4H-chart    
    

DOT/USD  4H-chart    

One big global event is set to take place later this Wednesday in the shape of the US Federal Reserve rate decision. After First Republic Bank had to be sold to JP Morgan, markets are focused on hearing from the Fed if this is the end of the line regarding rate hikes and tighter market conditions. If the Fed delivers a dovish message, expect a firm jump higher with DOT quickly back up at $6.25 and rallying 10% just on the back of the central bank’s statement tonight in the US trading session.

Author

Filip Lagaart

Filip Lagaart is a former sales/trader with over 15 years of financial markets expertise under its belt.

More from Filip Lagaart
Share:

Editor's Picks

Ripple and Stellar outlook: XRP and XLM rebound amid mixed signals

Ripple and Stellar extend their recovery on Thursday after finding support at key technical levels. However, mixed derivatives and on-chain data for both altcoins suggest that traders remain cautious and have yet to show strong conviction in a sustained rebound. Derivatives data shows a mixed and cautious outlook among traders.

Crypto Overview: Bitcoin steadies above $76,000 amid Fed rate hike – Privacy coins rally

Bitcoin holds steady around $76,000 at press time on Thursday, showing near-term strength as the US Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 bps. Privacy coins, Zcash and Dash, post double-digit gains over the last 24 hours, emerging as top performers. Bitcoin hovers around $76,200 on Thursday holding steady after a 3% decline on Tuesday.

Bitcoin slips below $76.7K True Market Mean amid weak demand — Glassnode
Bitcoin (BTC) has slipped below its recent trading range and the True Market Mean at $76,700, but the top crypto has remained relatively resilient despite a failed Clarity Act Senate vote, FOMC rate hike and a broader altcoin sell-off.
Bitcoin, crypto market see muted activity following FOMC rate hike

Bitcoin (BTC) traded above $76,000 on Wednesday as the Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points, bringing the federal funds target range to 3.75%-4.00%. The unanimous 12-0 decision marked the Fed’s first rate hike since July 2023.

Bitcoin: BTC retreats as macro headwinds grow
Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, down over 4% this week and trading around $76,900 at the time of writing on Friday. Institutional demand shows signs of weakness as spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) are on track to end their three-week inflow streak, recording nearly $500 million in net outflows through Thursday.