|

Polkadot Price Analysis: Three signs that forecast a 15% decline

  • Polkadot price reveals a technical breakdown since Wednesday’s peak.
  • DOT primed for another leg lower each time lower support does not hold.
  • Expect to see a 15% slide back to the low of March.

Polkadot (DOT) price is on the verge of sinking another 15% while it has already slid 15%. The decline comes after the peak on Wednesday was followed by a technical rejection and a string of breakdowns in support levels. Traders need to monitor this pattern in the coming sessions to time when the bearish powers are outplayed and a bullish upswing re-emerges. 

Polkadot price has feeble support levels

Polkadot price peaked near $7.00 on Wednesday before it started to tank quite severely after it got a firm rejection at that level. Price action tanked toward $6.23 where a pivotal level and the 55-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) came in for support. What followed was first a test and a small bounce with the second test breaking substantially below the same support.

DOT sees the same pattern emerging on Friday with a break on the monthly pivot. DOT is bound for a firm break below it as the rebound is losing force quickly. Expect DOT to collapse to $5.74 and next starts to paint a similar pattern again in that area. If that level breaks as well, $5.31 appears to be the last man standing in order to at least halt this sell-off with a full 30% decline from top to bottom.

DOT/USD  4H-chart

DOT/USD  4H-chart    

Just below the monthly pivot, the 200-day SMA can be found and could prove to be the joker for bulls in this sell-off. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is already firmly oversold and could see bears fading by now with little incentive to push further. A quick pop higher above $6.23 would be a good closing position to end the week.

Author

Filip Lagaart

Filip Lagaart is a former sales/trader with over 15 years of financial markets expertise under its belt.

More from Filip Lagaart
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Michael Selig assumes role as new CFTC Chair, what does this mean for crypto?

Michael Selig has been sworn in to serve as the 16th Chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Selig was confirmed by the US Senate to head the commission last week, following his October nomination by the US President Donald Trump.

Crypto.com hires sports trader for event prediction market-making

Crypto.com plans to recruit a quant trader for the sports market-making team to buy and sell financial contracts related to these events. Opponents argue that internal trading desks put operators or their affiliates on the opposite side of customer trades. 

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.