|

Is the alt season in jeopardy as Bitcoin slides below $30,000?

  • Bitcoin price dropped below the $30,000 psychological level after spending a week above it.
  • This sudden collapse has left investors questioning if now is the right time to focus on altcoins.
  • A look at the dominance chart shows that the altcoin market share is at a support level and is likely to inflate, while BTC’s market share is likely to decline.

With Bitcoin price sliding below a key psychological level, market participants have started to rethink their bullish views. A close look at the dominance chart reveals that things have stayed the same for altcoins. 

Read More: Here are top three altcoin categories that are likely to pump the hardest in the 2023 alt season

Alt season is still in play

Simply put, alt season is when the profits from Bitcoin, Ethereum and/or new capital, flow into altcoins. As a result of this redirection, the dominance of Bitcoin, aka its market share, suffers a decline. Likewise, the altcoin market share increases, giving rise to a phase known as alt season. 

Comparing Bitcoin and altcoin dominance helps in forecasting alt season. The chart attached below shows that BTC dominance is facing a hurdle while altcoin dominance is at a support floor.

A bounce off this level seems likely, giving rise to an alt season.

BTC vs. Altcoin dominance chart

BTC vs. Altcoin dominance chart

Also read: After Arbitrum’s 50% rally, is Optimism (OP) next Layer 2 altcoin to explode?

Bitcoin price plays key role in the next phase for investors

The long-term outlook for Bitcoin price is already facing resistance and selling pressure as it enters the weekly bearish breaker. This breaker setup extends from $29,247 to $41,273, with an inefficiency at roughly the midpoint, stretching from $34,277 to $37,406.

Although BTC has shown incredible performance since the start of 2023, it could continue heading higher, considering the macroeconomic outlook. However, if investors continue to book profits, a retracement to key support levels is likely. If the downtrend does continue, the $25,205 and $24,300 levels are critical for absorbing the selling pressure.

These levels also serve as an accumulation zone.

BTC/USDT 1-week chart

BTC/USDT 1-week chart

Should this move to $24,000 occur quickly and with a massive surge in volatility, the alt season could pause. In such a case, altcoins will try to fight the bearish momentum but could eventually slide lower. Only the strong altcoins could survive and even fewer tokens might rally.

Also read: Bitcoin Price Forecast: Can BTC bears manifest a 30% crash?

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Michael Selig assumes role as new CFTC Chair, what does this mean for crypto?

Michael Selig has been sworn in to serve as the 16th Chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Selig was confirmed by the US Senate to head the commission last week, following his October nomination by the US President Donald Trump.

Crypto.com hires sports trader for event prediction market-making

Crypto.com plans to recruit a quant trader for the sports market-making team to buy and sell financial contracts related to these events. Opponents argue that internal trading desks put operators or their affiliates on the opposite side of customer trades. 

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.