Gold Price News and Forecast: XAU/USD - The changing investment case for gold in 2020


Gold Spot ($) Intraday: under pressure

Pivot (invalidation): 1465.50

Our preference
Short positions below 1465.50 with targets at 1458.50 & 1454.00 in extension.

Alternative scenario
Above 1465.50 look for further upside with 1468.00 & 1471.00 as targets.

Comment
The RSI is mixed with a bearish bias.

Read more...

Gold

The changing investment case for gold in 2020

We head into one of the biggest weeks for event risk in some time and arguably the overriding risk plays out this weekend, where we find out if the scheduled 15% tariffs on $160b of Chinese exports (to the US) kick in. The consensus is we see a loose agreement to suspect the implementation of tariffs and to revisit talks and tariffs in late January/early February 2020. Of course, we could feasibly see tariff rollbacks, but that seems even more unlikely, and that would cause a strong positive reaction.

There has been some modest buying of USDCNH (offshore yuan) 1-week implied volatility, which tells me there are rising expectations of a move in spot USDCNH, but at 6.0425% it’s still very calm. We’ve seen some genuine interest in gold as a hedge against a negative reaction in risk from a tariff increase and certainly well above average volumes. I guess this is an out-of-consensus view, certainly when we contrast to the price action on the daily or weekly chart. as gold is finding sellers easy to come by and not a universally welcomed hedge. Read more...

chart

Gold adds to overnight modest gains, up little around $1465 region

Gold edged higher for the second consecutive session on Tuesday and built the overnight modest gains, albeit lacked any strong follow-through.

Persistent uncertainty over a potential phase one trade deal between the world's two largest economies continued weighing on the global risk sentiment. The same was evident from a weaker tone around equity markets and underpinned demand for traditional safe-haven assets, including gold.

Bulls take cues from trade uncertainty

It is worth recalling that the deadline for the next round of US tariffs on around $156 billion worth Chinese products is December 15. However, the Agriculture Secretary Sonny Perdue fueled some optimism on Monday and said that the US is unlikely to impose more tariffs. Read more...

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1464.72
Today Daily Change 3.72
Today Daily Change % 0.25
Today daily open 1461
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1465.51
Daily SMA50 1481.5
Daily SMA100 1487.66
Daily SMA200 1405.88
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1465.4
Previous Daily Low 1458.82
Previous Weekly High 1484.06
Previous Weekly Low 1454.05
Previous Monthly High 1515.38
Previous Monthly Low 1445.8
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1462.88
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1461.33
Daily Pivot Point S1 1458.08
Daily Pivot Point S2 1455.15
Daily Pivot Point S3 1451.49
Daily Pivot Point R1 1464.66
Daily Pivot Point R2 1468.32
Daily Pivot Point R3 1471.25

 


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