|

Failed attempts at bull rally could crash Polkadot price to this level

  • Polkadot price is at a make or break point as it trades under a resistance cluster around $16.
  • Investors can expect a 15% crash if DOT bulls fail to overcome the aforementioned hurdle.
  • A daily candlestick close above $23.15 will invalidate the bearish thesis.

Polkadot price is at a junction where a failure to breach through significant hurdles will result in a corrective phase. On the other hand, a swift recovery above these levels could set a base for impressive gains.

Polkadot price needs to step up its game

Polkadot price created a range that extends from $15.83 and $23.15 which it has been trading inside since it formed on February 8. After a quick deviation below the swing low at $15.83, DOT rallied roughly 69% and set a swing high at $23.85. 

This upswing soon hit a peak of euphoria that caused investors to book profits, leading to a corrective wave that pushed it down by 28%. The retracement also pushed it below the 50% retracement level at $19.49. 

The last attempt at an uptrend pushed Polkadot price by 15% where it pierced the midpoint and the 50-day, 100-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) but failed to produce a decisive close above these hurdles at $19.62. As a result, DOT faced immense rejection causing an 8% pullback to where it currently trades - $18.30.

If the buyers fail to move above $19.62, the rejection is likely going to push Polkadot price lower to retest the range low at $15.83. In a highly bearish case, DOT could extend lower and retest $13.64.

DOT/USDT 1-day chart 

DOT/USDT 1-day chart 

While things are looking bearish for Polkadot price, a daily candlestick close above $23.15 will invalidate the bearish thesis. In such a case, DOT will have the chance to rally and retest the $24.18 and $30.50 barriers.

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Editor's Picks

Pi Network Price Forecast: Core team offloads supply, weighing on PI recovery

Pi Network  hovers below $0.1700, broadly steady at press time on Monday, attempting a recovery after a 2% loss the previous day. Sunday’s decline aligned with nearly 49 million PI tokens offloaded by the Pi Foundation, implying a spike in supply pressure that capped the prevailing four-day recovery.

Cosmos Hub Price Forecast: ATOM under pressure as bearish momentum accelerates

Cosmos Hub steadies near $1.82 at the time of writing on Monday, following a 20% decline the previous week. Weakening on-chain and derivatives data support a bearish outlook, while technical analysis remains unfavorable.

Meme Coins Price Prediction: Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe show bearish signals at key levels

Meme coins are hovering around key support zones at the start of this week on Monday, after extending losses in the previous week. Dogecoin (DOGE) signals a neutral near-term bias with a slight bearish tilt.

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates amid rising Middle East tensions

Solana (SOL) trades around $84 at press time on Monday, coiling further within a consolidation range that keeps the momentum trapped. Institutional interest in Solana resurfaced last week, with inflows of over $44 million capping downside pressure.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Bitcoin: Another month of losses, and it’s been five

Bitcoin (BTC) price is stabilizing around $68,000 at the time of writing on Friday, but the Crypto King is poised to close February on a fragile footing, marking its fifth consecutive month of losses since October and a rare start to the year with back-to-back monthly corrections.